Match Info
Premier League - Round 36Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday
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Hawassa City |
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Bahir Dar Kenema |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.20 |
2.55 |
3.50 |
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2.2 |
2.62 |
3.6 |
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2.21 |
2.76 |
3.81 |
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2.3 |
2.54 |
3.86 |
Watch |
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2.2 |
2.5 |
3.6 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.22 ↓ (2.74) |
2.59 ↑ (2.47) |
3.67 ↑ (3.01) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hawassa City 40.6% | Draw 34.8% | Bahir Dar Kenema 24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hawassa City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hawassa City's performance.Bahir Dar Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bahir Dar Kenema might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawassa City than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hawassa City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (+4.4%)Hawassa City - Bahir Dar Kenema Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Hawassa City will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 12).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawassa City won 1.Recent form of Hawassa City has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, Bahir Dar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Hawassa City won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Hawassa City won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 5 | 50 |
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| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 0 | 48 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Hawassa City - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.15%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ethiopian Premier League | | | 25.01.26 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Hawassa City | 0:0 | | 16.06.25 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Hawassa City | 0:3 | | 08.01.25 | Hawassa City - Bahir Dar Kenema | 0:1 | | 27.06.24 | Hawassa City - Bahir Dar Kenema | 1:1 | | 08.12.23 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Hawassa City | 2:1 | | 02.07.23 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Hawassa City | 1:0 | | 17.02.23 | Hawassa City - Bahir Dar Kenema | 1:1 |
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