Match Info

Cyprus League - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: AEK Arena (Larnaca)

Referee: Konstantinidis A. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2


	AEK Larnaca		Ethnikos Achna

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.95	7.3
	1.33	5.31	8.36
	1.35	5.02	8.07	Watch
	1.3	4.75	7.5
	1.34	4.8	8.4	Watch
	1.28	5.33	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.7)	5.03 ↑ (3.9)	7.94 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Larnaca
70%

Draw
18.4%

Ethnikos Achna
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

24%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

23.2%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AEK Larnaca's performance.

Ethnikos Achna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ethnikos Achna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AEK Larnaca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethnikos Achna than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ethnikos Achna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

AEK Larnaca - Ethnikos Achna Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Ethnikos Achna will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ethnikos Achna (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - AEK Larnaca (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 3 - 75%). Ethnikos Achna (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alomerovic Z. (G) 11. Bajic R. 30. Cabrera E. 22. Ekpolo G. 9. Ivanovic D. 23. Izquierdo J. 6. Jimmy Suarez 7. Ledes Gustavo 15. Milicevic H. 21. Miramon 29. Naoum G.	40. Flores L. (G) 33. Andereggen N. 80. Angelopoulos G. N. 29. Bahanack P. 17. Gonzalez P. 12. Lomotey E. 5. Luis Felipe 37. Ofori R. 30. Papageorgiou G. 10. Pechlivanis M. 24. Psaltis P.
Substitutes
20. Amyn Y. 19. Angielski K. 99. Demetriou D. (G) 14. Garcia A. 93. Gnali J. 2. Ioannou P. 36. Loukaidis C. 41. Mathias Gonzalez 51. Paraskevas A. (G) 17. Pons P. 10. Rubio W.	98. Breno Almeida 7. Cejas J. 14. Dimitriou M. 44. Giallouros N. 21. Kravchuk A. 20. Machado L. 8. Maia M. 11. Marinescu M. 89. Papanikolaou Baig I. (G) 9. Rodriguinho 25. Saadi J. 38. Toumpas I. (G)
Coaches
Idiakez I.	Angelovski I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Ledes Gustavo 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Miramon ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bahanack P. ↓, Saadi J. ↑,
46', Pechlivanis M. ↓, Cejas J. ↑,
62', Angelopoulos G. N. 🟨,
68', Bajic R. ↓, Angielski K. ↑,
68', Ivanovic D. ↓, Rubio W. ↑,
72', Ofori R. 🟨,
72', Angelopoulos G. N. ↓, Breno Almeida ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Breno Almeida ⚽,
80', Lomotey E. 🟨,
81', Cabrera E. ↓, Amyn Y. ↑,
81', Izquierdo J. ↓, Gnali J. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Angielski K. ⚽,
87', Papageorgiou G. ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
88', Ledes Gustavo ↓, Pons P. ↑,
90+2', Gonzalez P. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 1.

AEK Larnaca is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ethnikos Achna is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

AEK Larnaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, AEK Larnaca is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Chacon Y. (Injury) Komar K. (Broken Hand) Rohden M. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 48:20. (average 2.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, AEK Larnaca won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:13. (average 2.6:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Larnaca
Cypriot First Division
01.12.25	Akritas Chlorakas - AEK Larnaca	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Rijeka - AEK Larnaca	0:0 ✺
Cypriot First Division
22.11.25	Olympiacos Nicosia - AEK Larnaca	1:4 ✺
09.11.25	AEK Larnaca - Omonia Aradippou	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	AEK Larnaca - Aberdeen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTWWT
- Ethnikos Achna
Cypriot Cup
03.12.25	Spartakos Kitiou - Ethnikos Achna	0:4 ✺
Cypriot First Division
29.11.25	Ethnikos Achna - Olympiacos Nicosia	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Omonia Aradippou - Ethnikos Achna	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	Ethnikos Achna - Apollon Limassol	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	APOEL - Ethnikos Achna	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
08.01.25	Ethnikos Achna - AEK Larnaca	2:2
22.09.24	AEK Larnaca - Ethnikos Achna	2:2
16.12.23	Ethnikos Achna - AEK Larnaca	0:3
28.08.23	AEK Larnaca - Ethnikos Achna	5:5
Cypriot Cup
04.05.22	Ethnikos Achna - AEK Larnaca	3:1
26.04.22	AEK Larnaca - Ethnikos Achna	1:2
Cypriot First Division
29.01.22	Ethnikos Achna - AEK Larnaca	0:0

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