Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Umuganda Stadium (Gisenyi) 🌤️ ...


	Etincelles		Musanze

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.95	2.70
	2.48	3.12	2.64
	2.30	2.95	2.65
	2.46	3.07	2.87
	2.50	2.95	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.52)	3.01 ↑ (2.94)	2.7 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Etincelles
37%

Draw
29.8%

Musanze
33.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.7%

30.6%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Etincelles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Musanze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Etincelles - Musanze Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 1 - 0, Ndonga Bivula G. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Etincelles won 3.

Musanze may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Etincelles won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Etincelles won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Etincelles	5	2	1	2	2:6	-4	7
9	Musanze	4	2	0	2	3:2	1	6

Last Results with these Odds

Etincelles - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 35.66%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Musanze - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 33.78%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Etincelles FC
Rwanda Premier League
12.09.26	Gorilla - Etincelles	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Etincelles - Sunrise	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Marines - Etincelles	2:3 ✺
Rwanda Peace Cup
13.05.26	APR - Etincelles	3:1 ✺
Rwanda Premier League
10.05.26	Gasogi United - Etincelles	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTWLT
- Musanze FC
Rwanda Premier League
11.09.26	Musanze - Kiyovu Sports	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Kigali - Musanze	2:1
24.05.26	Marines - Musanze	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Musanze - Gasogi United	3:2 ✺
09.05.26	Musanze - Police	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
07.02.26	Etincelles - Musanze	1:0
13.12.25	Musanze - Etincelles	1:3
01.05.25	Etincelles - Musanze	3:0
30.11.24	Musanze - Etincelles	0:0
17.02.24	Musanze - Etincelles	1:1
10.10.23	Etincelles - Musanze	Musanze awarded
05.02.23	Musanze - Etincelles	0:0

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