Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Musanze		Police

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.75	2.8
	2.81	2.44	3.1	Watch
	2.4	2.7	2.8
	2.69	2.85	2.79
	2.4	2.8	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.52)	2.71 ↓ (2.8)	2.87 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Musanze
35.3%

Draw
33.3%

Police
31.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.3%

32.7%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Musanze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Musanze - Police Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Kateregga A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', Nsabimana E. 🟥,
90', 2 - 0, Munyurangabo L. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Musanze won 0.

Police is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Musanze could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Musanze has recorded 1 win, 7 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:24 (averaging 0.7:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Musanze against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 4:6 goals (averaging 0.5:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Musanze	4	2	0	2	3:2	1	6
13	Police	5	1	1	3	2:5	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Musanze FC
Rwanda Premier League
11.10.26	Musanze - Gasogi United	0:1 ✺
15.09.26	Etincelles - Musanze	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Musanze - Kiyovu Sports	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Kigali - Musanze	2:1
24.05.26	Marines - Musanze	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWLT
- Police FC Kibungo
Rwanda Premier League
16.10.26	Police - Gorilla	0:0 ✺
11.10.26	Sunrise - Police	1:0 ✺
17.09.26	Mukura Victory Sports - Police	0:1 ✺
07.09.26	Police - Gicumbi	1:2 ✺
Rwanda Super Cup
30.08.26	Kiyovu Sports - Police	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
09.05.26	Musanze - Police	0:0
30.11.25	Police - Musanze	1:1
22.02.25	Police - Musanze	3:3
15.09.24	Musanze - Police	0:1
12.12.23	Police - Musanze	3:0
19.02.23	Police - Musanze	4:0
21.12.22	Musanze - Police	1:1

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