Match Info
Premier LeagueDate: 16 May 2026, Saturday
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Marines |
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Etincelles |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.98 |
3.45 |
2.05 |
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4.07 |
3.42 |
1.74 |
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4 |
3.4 |
1.67 |
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4.69 |
3.42 |
1.68 |
 Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.94 ↑
(2.41) |
3.42 ↑
(3.23) |
1.79 ↓
(2.55) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Marines
23% | Draw
26.4% | Etincelles
50.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marines's form might have worsened.Etincelles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Etincelles's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marines than the current prediction. (+15.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marines, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (-16.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Etincelles, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Marines - Etincelles Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Etincelles will win (votes: 3 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 16).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marines won 3.Both teams are struggling and far from their best.Marines may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Marines won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 1.5:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Marines won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 2:0.6).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Etincelles | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 7 |
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| 7 | Marines | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Etincelles - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.15%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Rwanda Premier League | | | 20.09.25 | Etincelles - Marines | 0:2 | | 30.03.25 | Etincelles - Marines | 0:0 | | 15.09.24 | Marines - Etincelles | 2:0 | | 27.01.24 | Etincelles - Marines | 2:2 | | 02.09.23 | Marines - Etincelles | 1:0 | | 29.01.23 | Etincelles - Marines | 2:1 | | 20.11.22 | Marines - Etincelles | 3:0 |
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