Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kigali Pele Stadium (Kigali) 🌤️ ...


	Gasogi United		Gorilla

	1	X	2
	2.60	2.60	2.75
	3.17	2.52	2.47
	2.12	3.03	3.52	Watch
	2.80	2.55	2.50
	2.95	2.70	2.70
	2.85	2.60	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.08)	2.67 ↓ (2.92)	2.76 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gasogi United
33%

Draw
34%

Gorilla
32.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.4%

30.9%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gasogi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gasogi United's form might have worsened.

Gorilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gorilla's recent form is better than expected.

Gasogi United - Gorilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gasogi United won 3.

Gasogi United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gasogi United will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Gasogi United won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Gasogi United won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gorilla	6	3	2	1	4:2	2	11
10	Gasogi United	6	1	3	2	4:7	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gasogi United
Rwanda Premier League
18.10.26	Gasogi United - Bugesera	0:2 ✺
14.10.26	Sunrise - Gasogi United	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Musanze - Gasogi United	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Mukura Victory Sports - Gasogi United	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Musanze - Gasogi United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTWLL
- Gorilla FC
Rwanda Premier League
16.10.26	Police - Gorilla	0:0 ✺
09.10.26	Gorilla - Rayon Sports	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Gorilla - Etincelles	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Kiyovu Sports - Gorilla	0:1 ✺
31.05.26	Gorilla - Al-Merreikh	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
17.04.26	Gasogi United - Gorilla	2:1
12.01.26	Gorilla - Gasogi United	1:2
20.05.25	Gorilla - Gasogi United	2:1
30.11.24	Gasogi United - Gorilla	2:2
17.02.24	Gasogi United - Gorilla	1:0
10.10.23	Gorilla - Gasogi United	2:2
03.02.23	Gorilla - Gasogi United	1:2

Gasogi United - Gorilla