Match Info

LUXEMBOURG: NATIONAL DIVISION - ROUND 29

Date: 14 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Stade Am Deich (Ettelbruck)


	Etzella Ettelbruck		UNA Strassen

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	1.98
	3.4	3.74	1.96
	3.28	3.58	1.99
	3.2	3.55	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (3.23)	3.57 ↑ (3.46)	1.98 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Etzella Ettelbruck
28.2%

Draw
25.6%

UNA Strassen
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

26.4%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

25.9%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Etzella Ettelbruck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

UNA Strassen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etzella Ettelbruck than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for UNA Strassen aligns with the current prediction.

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Etzella won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

UNA Strassen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

UNA Strassen will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Etzella won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Etzella won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Etzella Ettelbruck
Luxembourg National Division
07.05.23	Racing Luxembourg - Etzella Ettelbruck	2:2 ✺
30.04.23	Etzella Ettelbruck - Hostert	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Progrès Niedercorn - Etzella Ettelbruck	3:1 ✺
16.04.23	Etzella Ettelbruck - Jeunesse Esch	3:0 ✺
08.04.23	Wiltz 71 - Etzella Ettelbruck	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TTLWL
- UNA Strassen
Luxembourg National Division
07.05.23	UNA Strassen - Pétange	0:3 ✺
29.04.23	Mondercange - UNA Strassen	0:0 ✺
23.04.23	Racing Luxembourg - UNA Strassen	0:1 ✺
16.04.23	UNA Strassen - Hostert	2:0 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
12.04.23	Mondorf-les-Bains - UNA Strassen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
11.12.22	UNA Strassen - Etzella Ettelbruck	4:1
13.02.22	UNA Strassen - Etzella Ettelbruck	2:3
22.08.21	Etzella Ettelbruck - UNA Strassen	2:3
18.04.21	UNA Strassen - Etzella Ettelbruck	1:1
Luxembourg Cup
03.04.19	Etzella Ettelbruck - UNA Strassen	8:7 ET
Luxembourg National Division
25.11.18	Etzella Ettelbruck - UNA Strassen	0:2
21.02.16	UNA Strassen - Etzella Ettelbruck	2:0

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