Match Info

LUXEMBOURG: NATIONAL DIVISION - ROUND 25

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Stade Am Deich (Ettelbruck)


	Etzella Ettelbruck		Jeunesse Esch

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.8	1.61
	4.48	4.06	1.65
	4.45	4.05	1.63
	4.3	3.95	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↑ (4.27)	3.97 ↑ (3.87)	1.63 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Etzella Ettelbruck
20.9%

Draw
23%

Jeunesse Esch
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

23.4%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

23.4%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Etzella Ettelbruck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Jeunesse Esch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etzella Ettelbruck than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeunesse Esch than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Etzella won 1.

Etzella is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Jeunesse Esch is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jeunesse Esch could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Jeunesse Esch is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Etzella won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 9-36.

Including matches at home between the teams Etzella won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Etzella Ettelbruck
Luxembourg National Division
08.04.23	Wiltz 71 - Etzella Ettelbruck	3:0 ✺
05.04.23	Käerjéng 97 - Etzella Ettelbruck	0:3 ✺
02.04.23	Etzella Ettelbruck - Victoria Rosport	1:5 ✺
19.03.23	Etzella Ettelbruck - F91 Dudelange	2:5 ✺
12.03.23	Swift Hesperange - Etzella Ettelbruck	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38.3 LWLLT
- Jeunesse Esch
Luxembourg National Division
08.04.23	Jeunesse Esch - Pétange	2:2 ✺
02.04.23	UNA Strassen - Jeunesse Esch	2:1 ✺
29.03.23	Jeunesse Esch - Racing Luxembourg	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Hostert - Jeunesse Esch	0:1 ✺
12.03.23	Jeunesse Esch - Progrès Niedercorn	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
06.11.22	Jeunesse Esch - Etzella Ettelbruck	6:0
03.04.22	Jeunesse Esch - Etzella Ettelbruck	5:1
17.10.21	Etzella Ettelbruck - Jeunesse Esch	2:1
23.09.20	Etzella Ettelbruck - Jeunesse Esch	1:1
27.10.19	Jeunesse Esch - Etzella Ettelbruck	1:1
26.08.18	Jeunesse Esch - Etzella Ettelbruck	1:0
28.02.16	Etzella Ettelbruck - Jeunesse Esch	0:1

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