Match Info

LUXEMBOURG: NATIONAL DIVISION - ROUND 27

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Stade Am Deich (Ettelbruck)


	Etzella Ettelbruck		Hostert

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	2.65
	2.25	3.43	2.71
	2.27	3.58	2.73
	2.26	3.5	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 (2.26)	3.45 ↑ (3.33)	2.7 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Etzella Ettelbruck
40.1%

Draw
26.3%

Hostert
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

27.2%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

24.7%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Etzella Ettelbruck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Hostert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etzella Ettelbruck than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hostert than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Etzella won 2.

Recent matches Etzella is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hostert has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Etzella won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Etzella won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Etzella Ettelbruck
Luxembourg National Division
23.04.23	Progrès Niedercorn - Etzella Ettelbruck	3:1 ✺
16.04.23	Etzella Ettelbruck - Jeunesse Esch	3:0 ✺
08.04.23	Wiltz 71 - Etzella Ettelbruck	3:0 ✺
05.04.23	Käerjéng 97 - Etzella Ettelbruck	0:3 ✺
02.04.23	Etzella Ettelbruck - Victoria Rosport	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.7 LWLWL
- US Hostert
Luxembourg National Division
23.04.23	Hostert - Pétange	0:2 ✺
16.04.23	UNA Strassen - Hostert	2:0 ✺
08.04.23	Hostert - Racing Luxembourg	1:1 ✺
02.04.23	Mondercange - Hostert	1:0 ✺
29.03.23	Progrès Niedercorn - Hostert	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
27.11.22	Hostert - Etzella Ettelbruck	0:3
10.04.22	Etzella Ettelbruck - Hostert	1:0
03.11.21	Hostert - Etzella Ettelbruck	3:2
14.03.21	Etzella Ettelbruck - Hostert	2:2
29.09.19	Etzella Ettelbruck - Hostert	0:1
16.09.18	Etzella Ettelbruck - Hostert	0:1
17.05.15	Etzella Ettelbruck - Hostert	3:2

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