Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 10

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Poole Town		Evesham United

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.90	5.00
	1.52	3.8	4.9
	1.48	4.06	5.42
	1.54	4.17	5.6	Watch
	1.45	3.95	5.3
	1.54	4.52	5.6
	1.52	3.85	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.7)	4.04 ↑ (3.89)	5.25 ↑ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poole Town
60.2%

Draw
22.5%

Evesham United
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

23.7%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

23%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poole Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poole Town's performance.

Evesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evesham United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Poole Town - Evesham United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Obieri S. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Oastler J. ⚽,
23', 2 - 1, Goodship B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 3 - 1, Touray E. ⚽,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Southern League Premier South Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 9th).

Poole has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Evesham have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Poole could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Poole has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this matchup, Poole is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Poole in today's match, at odds of 1.59.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Poole has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Poole against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Poole	10	7	0	3	17:12	5	21
10	Evesham	9	4	1	4	14:17	-3	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
29.09.26	Chertsey Town - Poole Town	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Poole Town	0:1 ✺
31.08.26	Plymouth Parkway - Poole Town	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Poole Town - Yate Town	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Berkhamsted - Poole Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWLWW
- Evesham United
English Southern League South Division
29.09.26	Evesham United - Chippenham Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
19.09.26	Redditch United - Evesham United	3:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Evesham United - Berkhamsted	0:0 ✺
31.08.26	Gloucester City - Evesham United	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Evesham United - Plymouth Parkway	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
03.04.26	Evesham United - Poole Town	1:1
23.08.25	Poole Town - Evesham United	1:1

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