Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 13

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday


	Gloucester City		Berkhamsted

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.15	4.65
	1.54	4.27	4.59
	1.51	4.41	5.26	Watch
	1.53	4.15	4.9
	1.46	4.33	5.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 (1.51)	4.26 ↓ (4.41)	4.97 ↓ (5.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
60.3%

Draw
21.4%

Berkhamsted
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

21%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

20.2%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Berkhamsted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berkhamsted than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Gloucester City - Berkhamsted Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gloucester (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Watts E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
59', 2 - 0, Pinchard H. ⚽,
66', 2 - 1, Mitchell P. ⚽,
70', 2 - 2, Lacey J. ⚽,
72', 3 - 2, Jones D. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 3, Massingham L. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: ) and 8).

Gloucester is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Berkhamsted has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Berkhamsted may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gloucester is considered a favorite.

We predict that Gloucester will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English Southern League South Division
18.10.25	Gloucester City - Poole Town	3:2 ✺
13.10.25	Bracknell Town - Gloucester City	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Gloucester City - Sholing	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Hartpury University - Gloucester City	0:1 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
27.09.25	Gloucester City - Basingstoke Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW
- Berkhamsted FC
English Southern League South Division
18.10.25	Tiverton Town - Berkhamsted	0:1 ✺
14.10.25	Berkhamsted - Evesham United	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Yate Town - Berkhamsted	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Berkhamsted	1:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
23.09.25	Berkhamsted - Walton & Hersham	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWTLL

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