Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 7

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday


	Evesham United		Hungerford Town

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.3
	2.25	3.4	2.72
	2.27	3.46	2.71
	2.77	2.98	2.63	Watch
	2.25	3.28	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.82)	3.28 ↑ (3.26)	2.64 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evesham United
37.7%

Draw
27.8%

Hungerford Town
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

27.8%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

27.4%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Evesham United's performance.

Hungerford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hungerford Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Evesham United than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Evesham United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hungerford Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Evesham United - Hungerford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Steele L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Richards I. (Own goal),
71', 2 - 1, Steele L. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6).

Evesham is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hungerford is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evesham United
English Southern League South Division
06.09.25	Walton & Hersham - Evesham United	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Evesham United - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Poole Town - Evesham United	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Evesham United - Havant & Waterlooville	0:1 ✺
12.08.25	Evesham United - Basingstoke Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTTLT
- Hungerford Town
English Southern League South Division
06.09.25	Basingstoke Town - Hungerford Town	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Hungerford Town - Yate Town	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Hungerford Town	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Hungerford Town - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Hungerford Town - Gloucester City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWWL

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