Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 38

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Evesham United		Poole Town

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	1.92
	3.57	3.4	1.96
	3.62	3.5	1.97	Watch
	3.5	3.1	1.91
	3.66	3.34	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (3.43)	3.32 ↓ (3.6)	1.93 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evesham United
25.5%

Draw
27.4%

Poole Town
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

25.4%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

24.8%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Poole Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evesham United than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Evesham United - Poole Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Dunbar E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Gwengwe S. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Evesham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Evesham has had a series of away games.

Poole is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Evesham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Evesham: 0.96%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Poole	10	7	0	3	17:12	5	21
10	Evesham	9	4	1	4	14:17	-3	13

Last Results with these Odds

Poole Town - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 47.91%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evesham United
English Southern League South Division
31.03.26	Tiverton Town - Evesham United	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Evesham United	6:1 ✺
24.03.26	Hanwell Town - Evesham United	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Evesham United - Plymouth Parkway	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Uxbridge - Evesham United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLTT
- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
28.03.26	Poole Town - Bracknell Town	0:0 ✺
24.03.26	Yate Town - Poole Town	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Gosport Borough - Poole Town	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Poole Town - Taunton Town	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Dorchester Town - Poole Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
23.08.25	Poole Town - Evesham United	1:1

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