Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 24

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday


	Evesham United		Yate Town

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.25	3
	2.22	3.42	3.06	Watch
	2.15	3.2	2.9
	2.19	3.54	3.03
	2.25	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.95)	3.3 ↓ (3.6)	3.02 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evesham United
42%

Draw
27.7%

Yate Town
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

25%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

24.1%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Yate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evesham United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Evesham United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Evesham United - Yate Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Evesham (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Evans C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 16).

Recent form of Evesham has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Yate has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Yate has had a series of home games.

Evesham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evesham United
English Southern League South Division
20.12.25	Basingstoke Town - Evesham United	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Evesham United - Taunton Town	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	Gosport Borough - Evesham United	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Sholing - Evesham United	3:0 ✺
25.11.25	Evesham United - Bracknell Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLT
- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
20.12.25	Yate Town - Taunton Town	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Yate Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:2 ✺
05.12.25	Gloucester City - Yate Town	1:0 ✺
25.11.25	Yate Town - Basingstoke Town	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Yate Town - Bracknell Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLWW

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