Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 21

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday


	Gloucester City		Yate Town

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.05	4.35
	1.56	4.2	4.73
	1.59	4.32	4.79	Watch
	1.44	4.2	4.8
	1.55	4	4.87
	1.58	4.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.52)	4.16 ↓ (4.48)	4.67 ↓ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
58.8%

Draw
21.8%

Yate Town
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

20.6%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

21.1%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Yate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Gloucester City - Yate Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Baidoo K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Baidoo K. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Gloucester is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Yate is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gloucester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gloucester is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gloucester won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 3.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Gloucester won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:0. (average 4:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English Southern League South Division
29.11.25	Wimborne Town - Gloucester City	2:2 ✺
25.11.25	Gloucester City - Farnham Town	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Gloucester City - Chertsey Town	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Basingstoke Town - Gloucester City	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Slough Town - Gloucester City	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLWWW
- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
25.11.25	Yate Town - Basingstoke Town	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Yate Town - Bracknell Town	4:1 ✺
15.11.25	Uxbridge - Yate Town	1:3 ✺
01.11.25	Weymouth - Yate Town	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Tiverton Town - Yate Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.07.24	Gloucester City - Yate Town	1:0
English FA Cup
16.10.13	Gloucester City - Yate Town	7:0
12.10.13	Yate Town - Gloucester City	2:2

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