The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Excelsior 33.7%
Draw 25%
Heerenveen 41.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
25.8%
36.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Excelsior - Heerenveen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. van der Klooster A. (G) 21. Burgers J. 4. Helderman Y. (C) 3. Westerink M. 5. Cherif D. 14. Verheijen J. 12. de Raaff J. 22. Homan C. 9. Gomez I. 8. Hilhorst N. 18. Balkhir H.
23. Badenhop B. (G) 24. Venema L. 2. Appelmann I. 3. Meijer F. (C) 15. Macleane H. 19. Altena A. 5. Nassette A. 21. Vermeer B. 10. Kroezen S. 6. Maass E. 9. Maatman E.
Substitutes
19. De Jong Y. 2. De With L. 20. Frankena S. (G) 24. Haizoun D. 11. Martina S. 23. Redouani I. 6. van der Vlist A. 16. van Rheenen I. (G) 7. van Spijk V. 17. Vrij N.
7. Algra H. 11. Boukakar R. 8. de Haas R. 25. Drijfhout M. (G) 50. Nakayama M. 16. Smit M.
Coaches
Kreugel M.
Tarvajarvi N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Venema L. ⚽, Kroezen S. (A),
21', 0 - 2, Maass E. ⚽,
28', 1 - 2, Verheijen J. ⚽, Burgers J. (A),
34', 1 - 3, Maatman E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Vermeer B. ↓, Boukakar R. ↑,
46', Gomez I. ↓, Haizoun D. ↑,
46', Homan C. ↓, van Spijk V. ↑,
46', Balkhir H. ↓, Martina S. ↑,
61', 2 - 3, Westerink M. ⚽,
63', 2 - 4, Kroezen S. ⚽, Nassette A. (A),
72', Nassette A. ↓, de Haas R. ↑,
72', Venema L. ↓, Smit M. ↑,
72', Hilhorst N. ↓, van der Vlist A. ↑,
87', Altena A. ↓, Algra H. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 2.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:39. (average 0.9:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1:1.9).