Match Info

Eredivisie Women - Round 11

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sportcampus Diekman (Enschede) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pelt T. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	10:00	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Brazil	10:00	N Sports
Chile	10:00	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	08:00	DirecTV Sports
Netherlands	14:00	Canal+, ESPN 1
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Peru	08:00	DirecTV Sports
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	10:00	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Venezuela	09:00	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus


	Twente		Ajax

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.92	3.8	3.05
	1.91	3.99	3.2	Watch
	1.85	3.7	3.1
	1.88	3.75	3.3	Watch
	1.9	4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.01)	3.85 ↑ (3.67)	3.17 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Twente
47.9%

Draw
23.5%

Ajax
28.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.8%

25.1%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

24.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Twente - Ajax Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lemey D. (G) 4. Carleer L. 6. Groenewegen L. 29. Ivens R. 5. Knol A. 19. Proost S. 9. Ravensbergen J. 10. Roord J. 11. Tuin A. 2. van der Vegt I. 8. van Ginkel D.	1. van Eijk R. (G) 24. De Klonia D. 26. Kip X. 16. Noordman D. 8. Spitse S. 9. Tolhoek D. 5. van Asten R. 6. van de Velde J. 11. Van Egmond B. 19. van Koppen M. 2. Visscher A.
Substitutes
3. Abali I. 22. Bussman F. (G) 15. Diekman J. 14. Elberink E. 30. Gelevert A. 7. Hulst C. 37. Pennock L. 18. te Brake S. 16. Tijink I. (G) 23. Verdaasdonk S. 32. Wiefferink J.	21. Buikema N. 4. den Turk D. 7. Derks R. 13. Nienhuis L. (G) 3. Noordermeer D. 25. Touzani L. 22. van der Vliet D. (G) 12. van Hensbergen J. 18. van Oosten L.
Coaches
Dekker C.	Bruil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Proost S. ↓, Pennock L. ↑,
53', van Asten R. 🟨,
54', Kip X. ↓, Derks R. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Derks R. ⚽, Van Egmond B. (A),
58', Pennock L. 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, Pennock L. ⚽,
73', van Koppen M. ↓, van Hensbergen J. ↑,
73', De Klonia D. ↓, van Oosten L. ↑,
82', Ivens R. ↓, Elberink E. ↑,
83', Visscher A. ↓, Noordman D. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Twente has had a series of away games.

Twente is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Twente won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 47:34. (average 2.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:16. (average 2.7:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Twente W	8	7	1	0	30:4	26	22
2	Ajax W	8	6	0	2	21:10	11	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Twente Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
21.12.25	Hera United - Twente	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
17.12.25	Twente - Real Madrid	1:1 ✺
09.12.25	Arsenal LFC - Twente	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly Women
27.11.25	Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Twente	3:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
23.11.25	Excelsior - Twente	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTLLW
- AFC Ajax Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
21.12.25	Ajax - NAC Breda	5:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker Women
12.12.25	Ajax - AZ Alkmaar	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
07.12.25	Ajax - Utrecht	8:0 ✺
23.11.25	Zwolle - Ajax	7:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Cup Women
20.11.25	Hammarby - Ajax	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie Women
21.04.25	Twente - Ajax	5:1
Dutch KNVB Beker Women
15.02.25	Ajax - Twente	0:2
Dutch Eredivisie Women
09.11.24	Ajax - Twente	2:0
Dutch Super Cup Women
31.08.24	Twente - Ajax	6:1
Dutch Eredivisie Women
03.03.24	Twente - Ajax	0:3
19.11.23	Ajax - Twente	0:1
Dutch Super Cup Women
02.09.23	Ajax - Twente	2:5

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