The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Excelsior Maassluis 64.8%
Draw 19.3%
RKAV Volendam 15.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.9%
23.8%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.8%
24.7%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior Maassluis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior Maassluis's performance.
RKAV Volendam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and RKAV Volendam might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (-12%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Excelsior Maassluis that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for RKAV Volendam than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RKAV Volendam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Excelsior Maassluis - RKAV Volendam Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. El Fakiri K. (G) 2. Tureaij C. 8. Udenhout J. 3. Ringeling K. (C) 5. Overman G. 27. Plank D. 6. van Eerden J. 30. Hamd Y. 14. Verbont J. 9. Wennekers B. 11. Tavares Q.
29. van der Plas J. (G) 30. Ait Abdellah W. 13. Karregat P. 3. Schokker S. 12. Tol R. 10. Runderkamp N. (C) 6. Kroon P. 26. Plugboer P. 27. Zwarthoed D. 11. Pinas J. 25. Sier D.
Substitutes
26. Bronder S. 7. Dahmani K. 4. Heuvelman D. 20. Houwaart M. 24. Lopes Varela D. 17. Slagveer D. 1. Van der Kleij T. (G)
17. Kwakman L. (G) 28. Leito A. 5. Stuyt W. 7. Tol R. 8. van Baarsen D. 4. Veerman L. 15. Veerman S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Tavares Q. ⚽, Verbont J. (A),
40', 2 - 0, Plank D. ⚽, Wennekers B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Schokker S. ↓, Veerman S. ↑,
46', Zwarthoed D. ↓, Tol R. ↑,
46', Pinas J. ↓, Leito A. ↑,
66', 3 - 0, Tavares Q. ⚽,
69', van Eerden J. ↓, Heuvelman D. ↑,
74', Ait Abdellah W. ↓, Stuyt W. ↑,
74', Sier D. ↓, van Baarsen D. ↑,
79', Wennekers B. ↓, Houwaart M. ↑,
79', Verbont J. ↓, Slagveer D. ↑,
79', Tavares Q. ↓, Dahmani K. ↑,
83', Udenhout J. 🟨,
83', Hamd Y. ↓, Bronder S. ↑,
89', El Fakiri K. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation) and 14).
Excelsior Maassluis is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
RKAV Volendam has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Excelsior Maassluis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Excelsior Maassluis might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Excelsior Maassluis won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
Including home match between the teams, Excelsior Maassluis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Watch
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El Fakiri K. (G) 
Leito A. 
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