Match Info

BELGIUM: CHALLENGER PRO LEAGUE - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 2

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Yvan Georges (Virton)

Referee: Pirard Q. (Bel)


	Excelsior Virton		Deinze

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	2.8
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.35	3.25	2.85
	2.38	3.3	2.8
	2.44	3.38	2.96
	2.38	3.1	2.8
	2.38	3.32	2.83
	2.32	3.2	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (3.03)	3.23 ↓ (3.36)	2.81 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Virton
39%

Draw
28.4%

Deinze
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

27.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

29.2%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Virton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior Virton's performance.

Deinze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deinze might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Excelsior Virton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deinze than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deinze could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Excelsior Virton - Deinze Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Virton will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Deinze will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Virton won 0.

Virton is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Deinze is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Deinze could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Virton won 2 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Virton won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Virton
Belgian Challenger Pro League
24.02.23	Dender EH - Excelsior Virton	2:1 ✺
12.02.23	Excelsior Virton - Genk U23	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	Brugge U23 - Excelsior Virton	1:0 ✺
28.01.23	Excelsior Virton - Anderlecht U23	1:3 ✺
21.01.23	Dender EH - Excelsior Virton	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLLW
- SK Deinze
Belgian Challenger Pro League
25.02.23	Deinze - Genk U23	1:3 ✺
11.02.23	Deinze - Anderlecht U23	2:3 ✺
05.02.23	Dender EH - Deinze	0:1 ✺
27.01.23	Deinze - Brugge U23	2:1 ✺
21.01.23	RWDM Brussels - Deinze	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
05.11.22	Excelsior Virton - Deinze	0:1
27.08.22	Deinze - Excelsior Virton	1:1
26.02.22	Excelsior Virton - Deinze	0:2
29.01.22	Deinze - Excelsior Virton	2:1
03.12.21	Deinze - Excelsior Virton	3:0
26.09.21	Excelsior Virton - Deinze	1:1
Belgian National Division 1
18.05.19	Excelsior Virton - Deinze	2:0

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