Match Info

Date: 11 March 2022, Friday


	Excelsior Virton		Westerlo

	1	X	2
	8.5	5	1.25	Watch
	8.75	5.25	1.26
	8.5	5.1	1.3	Watch
	9.6	5.2	1.26
	9.66	5.56	1.3
	12	5	1.22
	11.25	5.7	1.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.75 ↑ (6.34)	5.26 ↑ (4.16)	1.26 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Virton
9.5%

Draw
17.5%

Westerlo
73%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

22.3%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3%

18.7%

75%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Virton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Excelsior Virton's form might have worsened.

Westerlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Westerlo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (+2%)

Excelsior Virton - Westerlo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Virton won 0.

Virton has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Westerlo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Westerlo have a series of home games.

In this match Westerlo is certain favorite.

In this match Westerlo is absolute favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Virton won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Virton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Virton
Belgian Challenger Pro League
06.03.22	Beveren - Excelsior Virton	3:1 ✺
26.02.22	Excelsior Virton - Deinze	0:2 ✺
20.02.22	Mouscron - Excelsior Virton	2:1 ✺
13.02.22	Lommel - Excelsior Virton	3:0 ✺
06.02.22	Excelsior Virton - RWDM Brussels	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- KVC Westerlo
Belgian Challenger Pro League
04.03.22	Deinze - Westerlo	1:2 ✺
25.02.22	Westerlo - Beveren	2:1 ✺
12.02.22	Westerlo - Mouscron	1:0 ✺
09.02.22	Westerlo - Deinze	0:3 ✺
06.02.22	Westerlo - Lommel	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
19.12.21	Westerlo - Excelsior Virton	1:1
24.10.21	Westerlo - Excelsior Virton	2:0
15.08.21	Excelsior Virton - Westerlo	0:2
22.02.20	Westerlo - Excelsior Virton	2:1
30.11.19	Excelsior Virton - Westerlo	1:1
05.10.19	Westerlo - Excelsior Virton	0:1
01.09.19	Excelsior Virton - Westerlo	1:0

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