Match Info

National Division 1 - ACFF - Round 13

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Yvan Georges (Virton)


	Excelsior Virton		Stockay-Warfusée

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.55	3.3
	1.91	3.63	3.59
	1.66	3.92	4.35	Watch
	1.89	3.54	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.67)	3.66 ↓ (3.85)	3.67 ↓ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Virton
49.9%

Draw
25.1%

Stockay-Warfusée
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

23.8%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

22.3%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Virton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Excelsior Virton's form might have worsened.

Stockay-Warfusée has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excelsior Virton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockay-Warfusée than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stockay-Warfusée, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Excelsior Virton - Stockay Warfusée Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National Division 1 ~ ACFF (Promotion Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National Division 1 ~ ACFF (Promotion Group: )).

Virton is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Stockay-Warfusée has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Virton is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Virton will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Virton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Virton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Excelsior Virton - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.12%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Virton
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
09.11.25	Union Rochefortoise - Excelsior Virton	0:4 ✺
01.11.25	Excelsior Virton - Mons	3:1 ✺
25.10.25	Tubize - Excelsior Virton	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Excelsior Virton - Meux	4:1 ✺
12.10.25	Standard Liège U23 - Excelsior Virton	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWLWW
- RRC Stockay-Warfusée
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
09.11.25	Stockay-Warfusée - Tubize	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Meux - Stockay-Warfusée	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Union Rochefortoise - Stockay-Warfusée	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Stockay-Warfusée - Charleroi B	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Habay-la-Neuve - Stockay-Warfusée	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
14.09.25	Stockay-Warfusée - Excelsior Virton	2:2
05.04.25	Excelsior Virton - Stockay-Warfusée	2:1
02.03.25	Stockay-Warfusée - Excelsior Virton	1:0
31.08.24	Excelsior Virton - Stockay-Warfusée	1:0

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