Match Info

National Division 1 - ACFF - Promotion Group - Round 8

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Yvan Georges (Virton)


	Excelsior Virton		Meux

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.05	4.75
	1.58	4.09	4.96
	1.58	4.16	4.64	Watch
	1.57	3.7	4.6
	1.64	4.3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.55)	4.06 ↑ (3.96)	4.63 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Virton
57.7%

Draw
22.5%

Meux
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

22.9%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

21.9%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Virton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Meux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meux than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Excelsior Virton - Meux Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Virton is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Meux has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Virton is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Virton will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Virton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Virton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Meux	7	5	1	1	15:5	10	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Virton
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
18.04.26	Mons - Excelsior Virton	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Tubize - Excelsior Virton	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Excelsior Virton - Union Rochefortoise	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Excelsior Virton - Tubize	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Meux - Excelsior Virton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLWWW
- RFC Meux
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
18.04.26	Meux - Union Rochefortoise	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Habay-la-Neuve - Meux	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Meux - Mons	3:4 ✺
21.03.26	Union Rochefortoise - Meux	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Meux - Excelsior Virton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
14.03.26	Meux - Excelsior Virton	1:2
29.11.25	Meux - Excelsior Virton	1:1
18.10.25	Excelsior Virton - Meux	4:1

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