The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Excursionistas 55.9%
Draw 27.1%
Argentino de Quilmes 17%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.7%
28.4%
19.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.4%
27.5%
19.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Argentino de Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez N. (G) 8. Avalos A. 10. Blanco M. 4. Fernandez M. 2. Maizarez I. 11. Paulides A. 6. Pedrosa G. 7. Pereyra J. 9. Polvera M. 3. Rodriguez G. 5. Zoratti G.
1. Yzaurralde N. (G) 2. Cosciuc F. 3. Diez E. 8. Escudero L. 11. Filliol F. 10. Filosa L. 6. Gomez M. 4. Lando F. 7. Martinez J. 9. Torancio E. 5. Vega M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
36', 🟨,
44', Fernandez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Diez E. ↓, Kruger J. ↑,
55', Vega M. 🟨,
59', Zoratti G. ↓, Gimenez W. ↑,
59', Polvera M. ↓, Arbello I. ↑,
63', Guzman L. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
72', Escudero L. 🟨,
72', Avalos A. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
72', Blanco M. ↓, Cardozo M. ↑,
74', Gomez M. ↓, Ceccotti M. ↑,
76', Torancio E. 🟨,
83', Pereyra J. ↓, Tellas G. ↑,
83', Torancio E. ↓, Compagnucci M. ↑,
83', Vega M. ↓, Cettou J. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Excursionistas is the team to beat.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Excursionistas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1:1.8).