The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo Dock Sud 24.5%
Draw 31.1%
Excursionistas 44.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.9%
30.7%
45.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.8%
29.3%
47.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Dock Sud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Dock Sud than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Sportivo Dock Sud - Excursionistas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tello T. (G) 11. Alvarez I. 8. Avalos A. 3. Barreiro A. 10. Gomez G. 4. Guerrero N. 6. Lopez N. 5. Perrone H. 7. Villalba B. 2. Villarreal S. 9. Vivas S. (C)
1. Rodriguez N. (G) 3. Arango M. 8. Avalos A. 10. Blanco M. 7. Espeche A. 11. Lopez M. 2. Maizarez I. 6. Pedrosa G. 9. Polvera M. 4. Valenzuela A. 5. Zoratti G. (C)
Substitutes
18. Arias D. 20. Arriola B. 13. Cataldi F. 15. Chamorro T. 12. Cuenca E. (G) 16. Gualtieri G. 17. Perez R. 14. Rodriguez F. 19. Venetucci V.
12. Blengio M. (G) 17. Cardozo M. 18. Chambi L. 15. Damiolini N. 19. Gimenez W. 14. Paulides A. 13. Rodriguez G. 16. Scaramuzzi E. 20. Tellas G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Gomez G. ⚽,
26', Pedrosa G. 🟥,
29', Villalba B. 🟨,
36', Alvarez I. 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Guerrero N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Espeche A. ↓, Scaramuzzi E. ↑,
46', Avalos A. ↓, Gimenez W. ↑,
46', Valenzuela A. ↓, Paulides A. ↑,
61', Polvera M. ↓, Damiolini N. ↑,
63', Villalba B. ↓, Chamorro T. ↑,
66', 3 - 0, Gomez G. ⚽,
67', Lopez M. ↓, Cardozo M. ↑,
70', Gomez G. ↓, Venetucci V. ↑,
74', 3 - 1, Blanco M. ⚽,
75', Vivas S. ↓, Gualtieri G. ↑,
76', Alvarez I. ↓, Arias D. ↑,
79', Paulides A. 🟨,
80', Venetucci V. 🟨,
86', Tello T. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dock Sud won 1.
Dock Sud is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Excursionistas is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Excursionistas might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Dock Sud won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Dock Sud won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
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Tello T. (G) 
Gimenez W. 
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