Match Info

Primera B - Round 25

Date: 14 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox (Zarate)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Defensores Unidos		Excursionistas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.70	3.00	1.93
	3.35	2.95	2.08	Watch
	3.70	3.00	2.09
	3.92	3.06	1.95	Watch
	3.50	2.90	2.07
	4.03	3.21	1.97
	3.70	3.05	1.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (3.35)	3.02 ↑ (2.95)	2 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores Unidos
24.5%

Draw
30%

Excursionistas
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

30.3%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

29.7%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Defensores Unidos - Excursionistas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Excursionistas will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henricot F. (G) 3. Alarcon M. N. 5. Baigorria A. 4. Ferreyra T. 10. Gimenez M. 7. Girard T. 2. Iribarne S. 9. Lopez M. 11. Patroni S. 6. Suarez F. 8. Tello J.	1. Rodriguez N. (G) 8. Avalos A. 10. Blanco M. 4. Fernandez M. 2. Maizarez I. 11. Paulides A. 6. Pedrosa G. 7. Pereyra J. 9. Polvera M. 3. Rodriguez G. 5. Zoratti G.
Substitutes
20. D'Andrea F. 19. Herrera S. 13. Lorenzo A. 17. Montani L. 18. Ortigoza M. 15. Rapetti M. 14. Redondo K. 12. Salerno F. (G) 16. Sombra A.	18. Arbello I. 12. Blengio M. (G) 19. Cardozo M. 15. Chambi L. 17. Gimenez W. 13. Ledesma D. 16. Lopez M. 14. Scaramuzzi E. 20. Tellas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Fernandez M. 🟨,
38', Baigorria A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', Iribarne S. 🟨,
57', Patroni S. ↓, Ortigoza M. ↑,
60', Pereyra J. ↓, Arbello I. ↑,
66', Girard T. ↓, Sombra A. ↑,
66', Tello H. ↓, Redondo K. ↑,
71', Blanco M. ↓, Scaramuzzi E. ↑,
72', Lopez M. ↓, Herrera S. ↑,
72', Baigorria A. ↓, Montani L. ↑,
73', 🟨,
81', 0 - 1, Arbello I. ⚽,
84', Avalos A. ↓, Cardozo M. ↑,
84', Paulides A. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, Gimenez W. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Defensores Unidos has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Excursionistas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Excursionistas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Defensores Unidos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Defensores Unidos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Excursionistas	38	22	8	8	59:30	29	74
18	Defensores Unidos	38	9	14	15	33:39	-6	41

Last Results with these Odds

Defensores Unidos - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 26.69%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Excursionistas - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 42.99%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera B
10.07.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Defensores Unidos	3:1 ✺
05.07.26	Defensores Unidos - Argentino de Merlo	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
20.06.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Defensores Unidos - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLLT
- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
10.07.26	Excursionistas - Comunicaciones	1:2 ✺
04.07.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - Excursionistas	3:1 ✺
27.06.26	Excursionistas - Deportivo Merlo	5:0 ✺
20.06.26	Excursionistas - Deportivo Camioneros	1:1 ✺
13.06.26	Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
04.03.26	Excursionistas - Defensores Unidos	1:0
Argentinian Primera C
01.04.18	Excursionistas - Defensores Unidos	1:2
04.11.17	Defensores Unidos - Excursionistas	1:0
29.03.16	Excursionistas - Defensores Unidos	4:3

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