Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA C - ROUND 30

Date: 5 August 2023, Saturday


	Excursionistas		Atlas General Rodríguez

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.25	5.25
	1.65	3.3	4.8
	1.65	3.35	5.57
	1.6	3.52	5.65	Watch
	1.62	3.35	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.04)	3.35 ↑ (2.98)	5.33 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excursionistas
55.8%

Draw
27.1%

Atlas General Rodríguez
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

30.7%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

29.9%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excursionistas's performance.

Atlas General Rodríguez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlas General Rodríguez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Excursionistas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas General Rodríguez than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlas General Rodríguez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Excursionistas - Atlas General Rodríguez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Excursionistas is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Atlas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Excursionistas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Excursionistas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Excursionistas won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Excursionistas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera C
31.07.23	Deportivo Yupanqui - Excursionistas	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
26.07.23	Excursionistas - Club Almagro	1:4 ✺
Argentinian Primera C
23.07.23	Excursionistas - Puerto Nuevo	2:1 ✺
19.07.23	Ferrocarril Midland - Excursionistas	0:0 ✺
14.07.23	Excursionistas - Atlético Claypole	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWTW
- Atlas General Rodríguez
Argentinian Primera C
30.07.23	Atlas General Rodríguez - Deportivo Laferrere	0:1 ✺
23.07.23	Victoriano Arenas - Atlas General Rodríguez	2:1 ✺
18.07.23	Atlas General Rodríguez - Leandro N. Alem	3:1 ✺
08.07.23	Deportivo Yupanqui - Atlas General Rodríguez	0:0 ✺
02.07.23	Atlas General Rodríguez - Puerto Nuevo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
02.04.23	Atlas General Rodríguez - Excursionistas	1:1
30.07.22	Excursionistas - Atlas General Rodríguez	1:2
27.03.22	Atlas General Rodríguez - Excursionistas	1:2
02.08.21	Excursionistas - Atlas General Rodríguez	1:1
14.03.21	Atlas General Rodríguez - Excursionistas	3:0

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