Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA C - APERTURA - ROUND 6

Date: 3 March 2023, Friday


	Excursionistas		Deportivo Español

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.85	2.65
	2.5	2.8	2.8
	2.71	2.85	2.79
	2.71	2.79	2.79
	2.65	2.9	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.47)	2.84 ↑ (2.76)	2.75 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excursionistas
34.8%

Draw
32.1%

Deportivo Español
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

33.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

34.8%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Deportivo Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Español than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Excursionistas - Deportivo Español Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Excursionistas won 3.

Recent matches Excursionistas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Deportivo Español is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Deportivo Español could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Excursionistas won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Excursionistas won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera C
26.02.23	Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
22.02.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Excursionistas	1:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera C
19.02.23	Excursionistas - Berazategui	0:3 ✺
13.02.23	Club Luján - Excursionistas	0:1 ✺
06.02.23	Excursionistas - Real Pilar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.5 TWLWL
- Deportivo Español
Argentinian Primera C
27.02.23	Deportivo Español - Deportivo Laferrere	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Victoriano Arenas - Deportivo Español	0:2 ✺
13.02.23	Deportivo Español - Leandro N. Alem	1:2 ✺
04.02.23	Atlas General Rodríguez - Deportivo Español	0:3 ✺
27.01.23	Deportivo Español - Deportivo Yupanqui	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
04.07.22	Deportivo Español - Excursionistas	2:2
28.02.22	Excursionistas - Deportivo Español	1:0
19.08.21	Deportivo Español - Excursionistas	1:0
03.04.21	Excursionistas - Deportivo Español	1:0
14.12.20	Excursionistas - Deportivo Español	4:2
17.02.20	Excursionistas - Deportivo Español	3:1
25.08.19	Deportivo Español - Excursionistas	0:0

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