Match Info

Primera B - Round 20

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Republica de Italia Stadium (Buenos Aires)


	Sportivo Italiano		Excursionistas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	2.70	2.55
	3.00	2.63	2.48	Watch
	2.97	2.70	2.74
	3.05	2.45	2.8	Watch
	2.90	2.50	2.70
	3.01	2.62	2.83
	2.95	2.75	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.85)	2.62 ↓ (2.76)	2.65 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Italiano
30.9%

Draw
34.7%

Excursionistas
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

32.7%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

33.5%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yordan G. (G) 4. Bifiguer C. 2. Durante P. 3. Fantino L. 7. Gimenez K. 10. Gomez F. 8. Guerra A. 9. Guzman M. 11. Laborda L. 6. Merzario E. 5. Rivero J.	1. Rodriguez N. (G) 11. Alaniz M. 3. Arango M. 8. Avalos A. 10. Blanco M. 7. Espeche A. 4. Fernandez M. 2. Maizarez I. 6. Pedrosa G. 9. Polvera M. 5. Zoratti G.
Substitutes
12. Alastra A. (G) 19. Caceres P. 18. Centurion F. 15. Daivez A. 16. De Cuadro J. 13. Di Massimo F. 17. Fortino R. 20. Hirigoyen T. 14. Ordonez C.	12. Blengio M. (G) 19. Cardozo M. 15. Damiolini N. 14. Paulides A. 17. Pereyra J. 13. Rodriguez G. 20. Tellas G. 16. Valenzuela A. 18. Zapata V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Fantino L. 🟨,
33', Alaniz M. 🟨,
38', 🟨,
41', Gimenez K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Guzman M. 🟨,
60', 0 - 1, Polvera M. ⚽,
69', Alaniz M. ↓, Valenzuela A. ↑,
69', Blanco M. ↓, Damiolini N. ↑,
83', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 1.

Recent performances by Sportivo Italiano have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Excursionistas is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Italiano won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Italiano won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.2:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Excursionistas	38	22	8	8	59:30	29	74
4	Sportivo Italiano	38	18	11	9	45:28	17	65

Last Results with these Odds

Excursionistas - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 35.68%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Italiano
Argentinian Primera B
06.06.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Sportivo Italiano	1:3 ✺
31.05.26	Sportivo Italiano - Argentino de Merlo	0:2 ✺
27.05.26	Sportivo Italiano - San Martín de Burzaco	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Sportivo Italiano	0:1 ✺
18.05.26	Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Laferrere	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLLWT
- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
06.06.26	Excursionistas - San Martín de Burzaco	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	Villa San Carlos - Excursionistas	0:2 ✺
27.05.26	Argentino de Quilmes - Excursionistas	2:2 ✺
22.05.26	Excursionistas - Liniers	4:1 ✺
16.05.26	Real Pilar - Excursionistas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
02.08.25	Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas	2:1
15.03.25	Excursionistas - Sportivo Italiano	2:0
10.07.24	Excursionistas - Sportivo Italiano	1:1
20.02.24	Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas	0:3
Argentinian Primera C
04.07.23	Excursionistas - Sportivo Italiano	1:1
26.02.23	Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas	0:0
20.06.22	Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas	2:0

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