The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Excursionistas 46.8%
Draw 30.1%
Real Pilar 23.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.5%
29.5%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.3%
27.7%
26.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Excursionistas - Real Pilar Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Excursionistas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez N. (G) 3. Arango M. 8. Avalos A. 11. Chambi L. 7. Damiolini N. 10. Espeche A. 4. Fernandez M. 2. Ledesma D. 6. Pedrosa G. 9. Tellas G. 5. Zoratti G.
1. Perafan P. (G) 2. Abre F. 6. Achucarro D. 8. Basualdo N. 11. Crocco M. 3. Franco E. 4. Isola G. 7. Mancini V. 5. Pansardi F. 9. Riquelme M. D. 10. Vergara D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Ledesma D. 🟨,
14', Riquelme M. D. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
25', 1 - 0, Tellas G. ⚽,
35', Franco E. 🟨,
43', Basualdo N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, Damiolini N. ⚽,
63', Tellas G. ↓, Gimenez W. ↑,
63', Chambi L. ↓, Alaniz M. ↑,
63', Franco E. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
63', Mancini V. ↓, Martin B. ↑,
66', Zoratti G. ↓, Paulides A. ↑,
71', Damiolini N. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
72', Espeche A. ↓, Scaramuzzi E. ↑,
76', Achucarro D. ↓, Camargo T. ↑,
76', Pansardi F. ↓, Smith I. ↑,
84', Alaniz M. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 0, Gimenez W. ⚽,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Primera Nacional and 7th in the Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 3.
Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.
Excursionistas is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Excursionistas has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:12 (averaging 1.5:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Excursionistas against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 7:3 goals (averaging 1.4:0.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Excursionistas
38
22
8
8
59:30
29
74
7
Real Pilar
38
17
10
11
42:38
4
61
Last Results with these Odds
Excursionistas - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 42.49%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.
Real Pilar - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 28.06%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Rodriguez N. (G) 
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