Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA C - ROUND 37

Date: 29 September 2023, Friday


	Excursionistas		Justo José de Urquiza

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.8	6.5
	1.47	3.75	6.5
	1.45	3.67	6.74
	1.5	3.9	5
	1.42	3.98	6.85	Watch
	1.53	3.6	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.83)	3.78 ↑ (3.3)	6.27 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excursionistas
61.6%

Draw
23.9%

Justo José de Urquiza
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

27.7%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

26.9%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excursionistas's performance.

Justo José de Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Justo José de Urquiza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Excursionistas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Justo José de Urquiza than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Justo José de Urquiza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Excursionistas - Justo José de Urquiza Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Excursionistas will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Excursionistas is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Excursionistas won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Excursionistas won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera C
24.09.23	General Lamadrid - Excursionistas	3:0 ✺
16.09.23	Excursionistas - San Martín de Burzaco	4:0 ✺
04.09.23	Deportivo Laferrere - Excursionistas	1:1 ✺
28.08.23	Excursionistas - Victoriano Arenas	3:0 ✺
21.08.23	Leandro N. Alem - Excursionistas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTWT
- Justo José de Urquiza
Argentinian Primera C
24.09.23	Justo José de Urquiza - Deportivo Laferrere	0:1 ✺
17.09.23	Victoriano Arenas - Justo José de Urquiza	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Justo José de Urquiza - Leandro N. Alem	0:0 ✺
04.09.23	Atlas General Rodríguez - Justo José de Urquiza	2:1 ✺
27.08.23	Justo José de Urquiza - Deportivo Yupanqui	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
21.05.23	Justo José de Urquiza - Excursionistas	1:1
17.02.18	Excursionistas - Justo José de Urquiza	1:1
15.09.17	Justo José de Urquiza - Excursionistas	2:1
12.03.16	Excursionistas - Justo José de Urquiza	1:1

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