Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA C - ROUND 32

Date: 28 August 2023, Monday


	Excursionistas		Victoriano Arenas

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.29	7.37
	1.37	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.38	4.2	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.49)	4.33 ↑ (3.98)	7.29 ↑ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excursionistas
66.4%

Draw
21.1%

Victoriano Arenas
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

23%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

22.2%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Victoriano Arenas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoriano Arenas than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Excursionistas won 4.

Excursionistas is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Victoriano Arenas is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Excursionistas is indisputable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Excursionistas won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Excursionistas won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera C
21.08.23	Leandro N. Alem - Excursionistas	0:0 ✺
05.08.23	Excursionistas - Atlas General Rodríguez	4:2 ✺
31.07.23	Deportivo Yupanqui - Excursionistas	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
26.07.23	Excursionistas - Club Almagro	1:4 ✺
Argentinian Primera C
23.07.23	Excursionistas - Puerto Nuevo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWLW
- Victoriano Arenas
Argentinian Primera C
21.08.23	Victoriano Arenas - Deportivo Laferrere	0:1 ✺
29.07.23	Leandro N. Alem - Victoriano Arenas	1:0 ✺
23.07.23	Victoriano Arenas - Atlas General Rodríguez	2:1 ✺
18.07.23	Deportivo Yupanqui - Victoriano Arenas	1:0 ✺
14.07.23	Victoriano Arenas - Puerto Nuevo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
15.04.23	Victoriano Arenas - Excursionistas	1:1
15.08.22	Excursionistas - Victoriano Arenas	2:1
10.04.22	Victoriano Arenas - Excursionistas	0:1
25.07.21	Victoriano Arenas - Excursionistas	0:1
06.03.21	Excursionistas - Victoriano Arenas	3:0
04.02.20	Excursionistas - Victoriano Arenas	1:0
13.08.19	Victoriano Arenas - Excursionistas	1:1

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