The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Excursionistas 62.7%
Draw 24.5%
San Martín de Burzaco 12.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.4%
30.2%
20.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.5%
29%
19.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excursionistas's performance.
San Martín de Burzaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Martín de Burzaco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Excursionistas that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Martín de Burzaco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Excursionistas - San Martín de Burzaco Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Excursionistas will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez N. (G) 8. Alaniz M. 3. Arango M. 5. Avalos A. 10. Blanco M. 7. Espeche A. 4. Fernandez M. 2. Maizarez I. 11. Paulides A. 6. Pedrosa G. 9. Polvera M.
1. Gagliardo M. (G) 9. Chavez B. 6. Denis K. 10. Diaz R. 11. Gauna N. A. 5. Gonzalez R. 4. Lazarev R. 8. Modon S. 2. Orellana D. 3. Siliman A. 7. Velazquez R.
Substitutes
18. Arbello I. 12. Blengio M. (G) 19. Cardozo M. 15. Damiolini N. 17. Pereyra J. 13. Rodriguez G. 20. Tellas G. 14. Valenzuela A. 16. Zapata V.
14. Escudero M. 15. Lezcano L. 12. Marchesi N. (G) 16. Peralta R. 19. Selpa E. 20. Serpa I. 13. Tobon J. 17. Treppo E. 18. Zagert E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Espeche A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Orellana D. 🟨,
48', Gauna N. A. 🟨,
49', Diaz R. 🟨,
54', Polvera M. 🟨,
55', Blanco M. ↓, Damiolini N. ↑,
55', Polvera M. ↓, Tellas G. ↑,
63', Orellana D. ↓, Peralta R. ↑,
63', Gonzalez R. ↓, Serpa I. ↑,
70', Alaniz M. ↓, Pereyra J. ↑,
70', Espeche A. ↓, Zapata V. ↑,
70', Gauna N. A. ↓, Treppo E. ↑,
71', 🟨,
77', Velazquez R. ↓, Zagert E. ↑,
77', Diaz R. ↓, Selpa E. ↑,
80', Avalos A. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Pedrosa G. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 3.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
SM de Burzaco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Excursionistas will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:23. (average 2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Excursionistas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 2.4:1).
Watch
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Rodriguez N. (G) 
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