Match Info

Primera B - Round 15

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Excursionistas Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Excursionistas		UAI Urquiza

	1	X	2
	1.78	2.98	4.65
	1.83	3.15	4.32
	1.88	2.8	4.91	Watch
	1.8	3	4
	1.81	3.04	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.81)	2.99 ↓ (3.08)	4.5 ↓ (4.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excursionistas
49.7%

Draw
30.2%

UAI Urquiza
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

29.7%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

27.9%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

UAI Urquiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Excursionistas - UAI Urquiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez N. (G) 11. Alaniz M. 3. Arango M. 8. Avalos A. 10. Blanco M. 7. Espeche A. 4. Fernandez M. 2. Igarzabal H. 6. Pedrosa G. 9. Tellas G. 5. Zoratti G.	1. Rolon J. (G) 4. Albano V. 8. Caceres A. 6. Ciancio V. 9. Diaz E. 5. Ibanez E. 11. Mesa F. 3. Monzon S. 10. Pesse V. 7. Rocha T. 2. Yavante Gaitan D.
Substitutes
12. Blengio M. (G) 19. Cardozo M. 15. Damiolini N. 16. Lopez M. 13. Maizarez I. 14. Paulides A. 17. Pereyra J. 20. Polvera M. 18. Scaramuzzi E.	16. Arcuri L. 18. Asprea T. 17. Polizotto M. 13. Rodriguez V. 19. Scacchi S. 20. Scarcella R. 15. Soria M. 12. Viain I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Yavante Gaitan D. 🟨,
24', Diaz E. (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', Rocha T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rocha T. ↓, Galli F. ↑,
57', Tellas G. ↓, Polvera M. ↑,
57', Alaniz M. ↓, Damiolini N. ↑,
71', Pesse V. ↓, Arcuri L. ↑,
71', Mesa F. ↓, Asprea T. ↑,
75', Blanco M. ↓, Pereyra J. ↑,
76', Espeche A. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
80', Caceres A. ↓, Rodriguez V. ↑,
80', Galli F. ↓, Scacchi S. ↑,
88', Fernandez M. ↓, Scaramuzzi E. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 2.

Excursionistas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

UAI Urquiza's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Excursionistas is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Excursionistas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Excursionistas	38	22	8	8	59:30	29	74
21	UAI Urquiza	38	5	20	13	21:35	-14	35

Last Results with these Odds

Excursionistas - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.61%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
02.05.26	Villa Dálmine - Excursionistas	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Ituzaingó - Excursionistas	1:3 ✺
17.04.26	Excursionistas - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
14.04.26	Argentino de Merlo - Excursionistas	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Excursionistas - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLTT
- UAI Urquiza
Argentinian Primera B
02.05.26	UAI Urquiza - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Argentino de Merlo - UAI Urquiza	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	UAI Urquiza - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Deportivo Laferrere - UAI Urquiza	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	UAI Urquiza - Brown de Adrogué	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
09.08.25	Excursionistas - UAI Urquiza	1:0
22.03.25	UAI Urquiza - Excursionistas	1:2
10.08.24	UAI Urquiza - Excursionistas	2:0
23.03.24	Excursionistas - UAI Urquiza	1:1
20.05.17	Excursionistas - UAI Urquiza	1:2
05.11.16	UAI Urquiza - Excursionistas	1:1

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