Match Info

Primera B - Round 14

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini (Buenos Aires)


	Villa Dálmine		Excursionistas

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.72	2.92	Watch
	2.49	2.8	3.13
	2.63	2.48	3.24	Watch
	2.5	2.5	3.1
	2.51	2.83	3.14
	2.38	2.85	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.38)	2.7 ↓ (2.85)	3.08 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Dálmine
36.6%

Draw
33.8%

Excursionistas
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

31.6%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

30.7%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Dálmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Excursionistas aligns with the current prediction.

Villa Dálmine - Excursionistas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rojas J. (G) 6. Agorreca N. 2. Broggi C. 4. Gamba L. 7. Garzino F. 3. Martinez D. 5. Nizzo M. 11. Ponzo T. 10. Prim S. 8. Solis M. 9. Torres G.	1. Rodriguez N. (G) 8. Alaniz M. 3. Arango M. 11. Damiolini N. 7. Espeche A. 4. Fernandez M. 2. Igarzabal H. 6. Pedrosa G. 10. Pereyra J. 9. Polvera M. 5. Zoratti G.
Substitutes
20. Brandan L. 14. Britos M. 16. Carlucci V. 12. Friedrich G. (G) 15. Nievas A. 19. Oro P. 17. Ramon E. 18. Resquin G. 13. Zurita M.	17. Arbello I. 15. Avalos A. 16. Blanco M. 12. Blengio M. (G) 19. Cardozo M. 13. Maizarez I. 14. Paulides A. 20. Tellas G. 18. Valenzuela A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nizzo M. ↓, Brandan L. ↑,
48', Zoratti G. 🟨,
54', Prim S. ↓, Resquin G. ↑,
56', Fernandez M. 🟨,
58', Espeche A. ↓, Blanco M. ↑,
58', Pereyra J. ↓, Cardozo M. ↑,
61', Ponzo T. 🟨,
63', Damiolini N. ↓, Arbello I. ↑,
69', Torres G. ↓, Oro P. ↑,
71', Alaniz M. ↓, Tellas G. ↑,
71', Polvera M. ↓, Avalos A. ↑,
77', Blanco M. 🟨,
87', Garzino F. ↓, Ramon E. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 0, Martinez D. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Villa Dálmine is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Excursionistas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Villa Dálmine may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Villa Dálmine won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Villa Dálmine won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Excursionistas	38	22	8	8	59:30	29	74
5	Villa Dalmine	38	17	13	8	38:23	15	64

Last Results with these Odds

Excursionistas - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 30.54%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera B
26.04.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Villa Dálmine	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Villa Dálmine - Argentino de Merlo	1:0 ✺
14.04.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Villa Dálmine	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Villa Dálmine - Deportivo Laferrere	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Brown de Adrogué - Villa Dálmine	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TWWTW
- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
25.04.26	Ituzaingó - Excursionistas	1:3 ✺
17.04.26	Excursionistas - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
14.04.26	Argentino de Merlo - Excursionistas	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Excursionistas - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Excursionistas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
15.11.25	Villa Dálmine - Excursionistas	2:1
20.06.25	Excursionistas - Villa Dálmine	3:0
01.09.24	Villa Dálmine - Excursionistas	0:0
13.04.24	Excursionistas - Villa Dálmine	2:2

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