Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA C - ROUND 31

Date: 21 August 2023, Monday


	Victoriano Arenas		Deportivo Laferrere

	1	X	2
	3.9	3	1.85
	3.9	3	1.9
	3.78	3.12	2
	3.75	3.5	1.8
	4.25	3.1	1.9	Watch
	4	3.05	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↓ (4.84)	3.13 ↓ (3.2)	1.89 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoriano Arenas
23.1%

Draw
29%

Deportivo Laferrere
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

28.3%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

27.7%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoriano Arenas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Deportivo Laferrere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Laferrere might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoriano Arenas than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Laferrere than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Laferrere could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Victoriano Arenas - Deportivo Laferrere Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Victoriano Arenas won 0.

Victoriano Arenas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportivo Laferrere is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Deportivo Laferrere is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Victoriano Arenas won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Victoriano Arenas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoriano Arenas
Argentinian Primera C
29.07.23	Leandro N. Alem - Victoriano Arenas	1:0 ✺
23.07.23	Victoriano Arenas - Atlas General Rodríguez	2:1 ✺
18.07.23	Deportivo Yupanqui - Victoriano Arenas	1:0 ✺
14.07.23	Victoriano Arenas - Puerto Nuevo	0:0 ✺
09.07.23	Ferrocarril Midland - Victoriano Arenas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLTL
- Deportivo Laferrere
Argentinian Primera C
05.08.23	Deportivo Laferrere - Leandro N. Alem	1:1 ✺
30.07.23	Atlas General Rodríguez - Deportivo Laferrere	0:1 ✺
23.07.23	Deportivo Laferrere - Deportivo Yupanqui	0:0 ✺
18.07.23	Puerto Nuevo - Deportivo Laferrere	0:1 ✺
14.07.23	Deportivo Laferrere - Ferrocarril Midland	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
09.04.23	Deportivo Laferrere - Victoriano Arenas	3:2
13.09.22	Deportivo Laferrere - Victoriano Arenas	1:0
10.05.22	Victoriano Arenas - Deportivo Laferrere	0:0
29.08.21	Victoriano Arenas - Deportivo Laferrere	2:3
14.04.21	Deportivo Laferrere - Victoriano Arenas	3:1
22.11.19	Deportivo Laferrere - Victoriano Arenas	0:1
26.01.19	Deportivo Laferrere - Victoriano Arenas	1:1

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