Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Uganda	Sanyuka TV


	Express		Villa

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.35	1.65
	5.7	3.59	1.57	Watch
	5.5	3.25	1.57
	5.8	3.42	1.57
	5.66	3.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.48 ↑ (3.26)	3.42 ↑ (3.19)	1.57 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Express
16.4%

Draw
26.3%

Villa
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

28.3%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

28.2%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Express has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Express's form might have worsened.

Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Express than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Express, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Express - Villa Predictions

Users Predictions: Villa will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Villa will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Ssebuufu F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Express won 1.

Express is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Villa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Villa could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Express won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 0.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Express won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.6:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Villa	5	3	2	0	8:2	6	11
11	Express	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Express FC
Ugandan Super League
17.12.25	Maroons - Express	4:0 ✺
11.12.25	Entebbe UPPC - Express	2:0 ✺
04.12.25	Express - Calvary	4:0 ✺
26.11.25	Express - Vipers	0:3 ✺
20.11.25	Lugazi Municipal - Express	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLT
- SC Villa
Ugandan Super League
17.12.25	Villa - Calvary	1:0 ✺
11.12.25	Villa - Uganda Revenue Authority SC	3:0 ✺
06.12.25	Maroons - Villa	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Vipers - Villa	1:1 ✺
25.11.25	UPDF - Villa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
15.02.25	Villa - Express	1:0
08.11.24	Express - Villa	1:0
09.03.24	Villa - Express	1:0
08.12.23	Express - Villa	1:2
05.03.23	Express - Villa	1:2
14.10.22	Villa - Express	2:0
09.04.22	Villa - Express	1:2

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