Match Info
Premier League - Round 15Date: 31 January 2026, SaturdayLocation: Luzira Maximum Prisons Stadium (Kampala)
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Maroons |
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Mbarara City |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.34 |
4.15 |
8.1 |
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1.29 |
4.51 |
8.92 |
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1.35 |
4.35 |
8.3 |
 Watch |
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1.3 |
4 |
10 |
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1.27 |
4.45 |
11.3 |
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1.32 |
4.2 |
7.5 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.6) |
4.28 ↑
(3.36) |
9.02 ↑
(5.04) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Maroons
68.9% | Draw
21.1% | Mbarara City
10% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maroons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maroons's performance.Mbarara City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mbarara City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maroons than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maroons that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mbarara City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Maroons - Mbarara City Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Maroons will win (votes: 4 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Maroons (1.71) (votes: 4 - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
- 1X2, 1st Half - Maroons (2.00) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Maroons will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Maroons (votes: 12 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 0 - 1, Busuulwa M. ⚽,
- 90', 1 - 1, Eturude A. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maroons won 3.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Mbarara City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Maroons is a strong favorite.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Maroons won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.1:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Maroons won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Maroons | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | 2 | 6 |
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| 16 | Mbarara City | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ugandan Super League | | | 05.12.24 | Mbarara City - Maroons | 0:3 | | 05.04.24 | Mbarara City - Maroons | 0:0 | | 02.12.23 | Maroons - Mbarara City | 1:0 | | 09.10.19 | Mbarara City - Maroons | 1:2 | | 05.02.19 | Maroons - Mbarara City | 0:2 | | 10.03.18 | Mbarara City - Maroons | 1:2 | | 21.11.17 | Maroons - Mbarara City | 0:0 |
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