Match Info

Premier League - Round 1

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday


	Express		UPDF

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.88	2.78
	2.59	2.82	2.65
	1.50	3.93	5.95	Watch
	2.58	2.9	2.65
	2.25	3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.22)	3.11 ↑ (2.98)	3.47 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Express
41.9%

Draw
30.7%

UPDF
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

30.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Express has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

UPDF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Express - UPDF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Asiimwe H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Express won 2.

Express will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Express won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Express won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Express FC
Ugandan Super League
30.04.25	Bright Stars - Express	0:1 ✺
24.04.25	Express - UPDF	2:2 ✺
16.04.25	Mbale Heroes - Express	0:1 ✺
11.04.25	Express - Vipers	2:2 ✺
05.04.25	Maroons - Express	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTWTL
- UPDF FC
Ugandan Super League
29.04.25	Vipers - UPDF	1:0 ✺
24.04.25	Express - UPDF	2:2 ✺
16.04.25	UPDF - Maroons	2:1 ✺
11.04.25	Lugazi Municipal - UPDF	2:2 ✺
04.04.25	UPDF - NEC FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
24.04.25	Express - UPDF	2:2
06.01.25	UPDF - Express	0:2
27.02.24	Express - UPDF	3:1
27.10.23	UPDF - Express	1:1
11.02.23	Express - UPDF	1:1
01.10.22	UPDF - Express	1:1
23.10.21	UPDF - Express	1:0

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