Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Hamz Stadium (Kampala)


	UPDF		Maroons

	1	X	2
	2.12	2.92	3.25
	2.2	2.84	3.14
	2.17	3.04	3.3	Watch
	2.15	2.75	3.05
	2.13	2.95	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 (2.15)	2.9 ↓ (3)	3.21 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UPDF
41.4%

Draw
30.8%

Maroons
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

30.6%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UPDF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Maroons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Zzinda H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 1.

Maroons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

UPDF might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, UPDF won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Maroons	5	2	0	3	8:6	2	6
10	UPDF	4	1	2	1	2:2	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UPDF FC
Ugandan Super League
10.09.26	Police - UPDF	0:0 ✺
01.09.26	Entebbe UPPC - UPDF	2:1 ✺
19.05.26	UPDF - Calvary	0:0 ✺
13.05.26	UPDF - Kampala City Council	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Police - UPDF	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLTLL
- Maroons FC
Ugandan Super League
08.09.26	Maroons - Blacks Power	1:2 ✺
02.09.26	Ntugasaze - Maroons	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Maroons - Uganda Revenue Authority SC	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	Maroons - Vipers	0:3 ✺
07.05.26	Kampala City Council - Maroons	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
14.03.26	Maroons - UPDF	0:0
15.10.25	UPDF - Maroons	1:2
16.04.25	UPDF - Maroons	2:1
15.09.24	Maroons - UPDF	1:1
05.01.24	Maroons - UPDF	4:2
25.04.23	Maroons - UPDF	1:0
22.11.22	UPDF - Maroons	0:0

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