The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UPDF 17.1%
Draw 26.4%
Kampala City Council 56.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.2%
27%
55.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.6%
26%
58%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UPDF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Kampala City Council has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kampala City Council than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
20%
80%
UPDF - Kampala City Council Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Kampala City will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Ochen E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
87', 1 - 1, Anyama E. ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, Katenga E. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 0.
UPDF has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Kampala City is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
UPDF may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Kampala City is seen as the favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 9:29. (average 0.6:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, UPDF won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.6:1.6).