Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Kiira Road Police Arena (Kampala)


	Police		UPDF

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4
	1.84	3.43	3.94
	1.77	3.52	4.11	Watch
	1.74	3.35	3.9
	1.8	3.34	4.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.66)	3.39 ↓ (3.4)	4.08 ↓ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Police
51%

Draw
26.8%

UPDF
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

27%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

UPDF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Police - UPDF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 3.

UPDF may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Police is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Police won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Police won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Police	4	2	1	1	3:1	2	7
10	UPDF	4	1	2	1	2:2	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Police FC Kampala
Ugandan Super League
02.09.26	Blacks Power - Police	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Police - Mbarara City	1:0 ✺
12.05.26	Police - Vipers	0:0 ✺
29.04.26	Police - UPDF	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Maroons - Police	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWTWL
- UPDF FC
Ugandan Super League
01.09.26	Entebbe UPPC - UPDF	2:1 ✺
19.05.26	UPDF - Calvary	0:0 ✺
13.05.26	UPDF - Kampala City Council	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Police - UPDF	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	UPDF - Uganda Revenue Authority SC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
29.04.26	Police - UPDF	2:0
06.11.25	UPDF - Police	1:2
27.11.24	UPDF - Police	2:2
10.02.22	Police - UPDF	2:2
04.01.22	UPDF - Police	0:1
14.04.21	Police - UPDF	3:0

Police - UPDF: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide