Match Info

Date: 24 April 2021, Saturday


	Extremadura UD		Real Madrid Castilla

	1	X	2
	1.75	3	4.6
	1.8	3	4.8
	1.74	3.15	4.6
	1.77	3.33	5.29
	1.77	3.2	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.32)	3.14 ↑ (2.92)	4.84 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Extremadura UD
51.9%

Draw
29.2%

Real Madrid Castilla
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

30.8%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

22.1%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Extremadura UD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Extremadura UD's performance.

Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Madrid Castilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Extremadura UD than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.3%	7.1%	3.6%

Extremadura UD - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Extremadura UD will win (votes: 25 - 89.3%). Real Madrid Castilla will win (votes: 1 - 3.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Extremadura UD: 77.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Extremadura UD is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Extremadura UD won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Extremadura UD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.04.21	DUX Internacional de Madrid - Extremadura UD	1:0 ✺
11.04.21	Extremadura UD - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0 ✺
04.04.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Extremadura UD	1:1 ✺
21.03.21	Socuéllamos - Extremadura UD	1:3 ✺
14.03.21	Extremadura UD - Melilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTTWW
- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.04.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Talavera de la Reina	2:2 ✺
11.04.21	Badajoz - Real Madrid Castilla	2:0 ✺
04.04.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Extremadura UD	1:1 ✺
21.03.21	San Sebastian Reyes - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
14.03.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Madrid B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.04.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Extremadura UD	1:1

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