Match Info

Date: 4 February 2022, Friday


	Extremadura UD		San Sebastian Reyes

	1	X	2
	7	3.9	1.41
	14	6	1.18
	19	6	1.12
	18.53	6.01	1.18
	14	6.6	1.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	14.51 ↑ (2.66)	5.7 ↑ (2.94)	1.21 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Extremadura UD
6.4%

Draw
16.4%

San Sebastian Reyes
77.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

31.1%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

22.1%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Extremadura UD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Extremadura UD's form might have worsened.

San Sebastian Reyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+42.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Sebastian Reyes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Extremadura UD than the current prediction. (+41.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Extremadura UD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (-52.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Sebastian Reyes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	6%	84%

Extremadura UD - San Sebastian Reyes Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Extremadura UD will win (votes: 5 - 10%). SS Reyes will win (votes: 42 - 84%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for SS Reyes: 73.8% – 94.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Extremadura UD is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches SS Reyes is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match SS Reyes is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Extremadura UD won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Extremadura UD won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Extremadura UD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.01.22	DUX Internacional de Madrid - Extremadura UD	4:2 ✺
27.01.22	Extremadura UD - Talavera de la Reina	0:2 ✺
22.01.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Extremadura UD	3:0 ✺
08.01.22	Real Unión de Irun - Extremadura UD	0:1 ✺
18.12.21	Extremadura UD - Racing Santander	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLWL
- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.01.22	San Sebastian Reyes - UD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
26.01.22	Badajoz - San Sebastian Reyes	2:1 ✺
22.01.22	San Sebastian Reyes - Celta de Vigo B	0:7 ✺
09.01.22	Racing Santander - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0 ✺
19.12.21	Athletic Bilbao B - San Sebastian Reyes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.08.21	San Sebastian Reyes - Extremadura UD	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
02.05.21	San Sebastian Reyes - Extremadura UD	3:0
11.04.21	Extremadura UD - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0

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