Match Info

Date: 17 July 2020, Friday


	Extremadura UD		Sporting de Gijón

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.85	3.1	2.08	Watch
	3.6	3.1	2.09
	3.73	3.25	2.15
	3.75	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.92	3.06	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↓ (4.51)	3.14 ↓ (3.31)	2.1 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Extremadura UD
25%

Draw
30.1%

Sporting de Gijón
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

28%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

17.6%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Extremadura UD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting de Gijón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Extremadura UD than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Extremadura UD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting de Gijón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.2%	15.2%	63.6%

Extremadura UD - Sporting de Gijón Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Extremadura UD will win (votes: 7 - 21.2%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 21 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting de Gijón: 47.2% – 80%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Extremadura UD
Spanish LaLiga2
12.07.20	Deportivo A Coruña - Extremadura UD	2:3 ✺
07.07.20	Extremadura UD - Cádiz	0:1 ✺
04.07.20	Numancia - Extremadura UD	1:0 ✺
01.07.20	Extremadura UD - Racing Santander	3:1 ✺
28.06.20	Fuenlabrada - Extremadura UD	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLLWT
- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
13.07.20	Sporting de Gijón - Málaga	2:1 ✺
09.07.20	Albacete Balompié - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
06.07.20	Sporting de Gijón - Girona	0:0 ✺
01.07.20	Almería - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
28.06.20	Sporting de Gijón - Lugo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.19	Sporting de Gijón - Extremadura UD	0:1
03.02.19	Extremadura UD - Sporting de Gijón	0:3
02.09.18	Sporting de Gijón - Extremadura UD	2:0

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