Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 20

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Molinón (Gijón)

Referee: Morilla A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Sporting de Gijón		Málaga

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.7
	1.82	3.4	4.15	Watch
	1.8	3.59	4.55	Watch
	1.83	3.3	4.2
	1.89	3.43	4.32	Watch
	1.78	3.4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.96)	3.39 ↑ (3.33)	4.31 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting de Gijón
50.8%

Draw
27.5%

Málaga
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

28.3%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

28.2%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	12.5%	4.2%

Sporting de Gijón - Málaga Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting de Gijón (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sporting de Gijón will win (20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yanez R. (G) 2. Rosas G. 23. Curbelo E. 15. Vazquez P. 5. Sanchez D. 8. Bernal J. 6. Nacho Martin 17. Dubasin J. 10. Gelabert Pina C. 7. Campos G. (C) 19. Otero J.	1. Herrero A. (C) 3. Puga C. 16. Murillo D. 4. Galilea E. 31. Rafita 10. Larrubia D. 23. Merino I. 12. Dotor C. 35. Ochoa A. 9. Chupe 21. Nino A.
Substitutes
9. Caicedo J. 14. Corredera A. 16. Cortes O. 18. Coundoul A. 3. Garcia P. 13. Joel C. (G) 12. Olivan B. 4. Perrin L. 11. Queipo D. 36. Rodriguez M. 24. Smith J. 20. Vazquez K.	7. Abaida H. 2. Gabilondo J. 17. Jauregi E. 8. Juanpe 24. Lobete J. 13. Lopez C. (G) 22. Lorenzo D. 20. Montero J. 11. Munoz J. 36. Recio A. 37. Rodriguez R.
Coaches
Jimenez B.	Funes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Gelabert Pina C. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Chupe ⚽, Larrubia D. (A),
42', Larrubia D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 0 - 2, Nino A. ⚽,
64', Nino A. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
64', Ochoa A. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
66', Campos G. ↓, Corredera A. ↑,
66', Vazquez P. ↓, Olivan B. ↑,
73', Bernal J. ↓, Queipo D. ↑,
74', Rodriguez R. 🟨,
81', 1 - 2, Otero J. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Olivan B. 🟥,
86', Larrubia D. ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
87', 1 - 3, Lobete J. ⚽,
88', Lobete J. 🟨,
90', Dotor C. ↓, Juanpe ↑,
90', Chupe ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
90+7', Sanchez D. 🟨,
90+9', Puga C. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 0.

Sporting de Gijón is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Málaga has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sporting de Gijón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sporting de Gijón is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Loum M. (Injury)

There will not play in Málaga: Brasanac D. (Knee Injury) Diarra M. (Knee Injury) Dorrio J. (Muscle Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Garcia V. (Yellow Cards) Juanpe (Injury) Luismi (Face Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury) Sanchez D. (Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting de Gijón won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Gijon: 3.01%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Gijon	8	4	1	3	8:8	0	13

Last Results with these Odds

Málaga - the odds 4.02 are the expected chance of winning is 23.48%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
20.12.25	Leganés - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.25	Sporting de Gijón - Valencia	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.25	Sporting de Gijón - Granada	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Real Sociedad B - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Mirandés - Sporting de Gijón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WLWWW
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.25	Málaga - Almería	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Albacete Balompié - Málaga	1:3 ✺
08.12.25	Málaga - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Talavera de la Reina - Málaga	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.25	Valladolid - Málaga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
17.05.25	Málaga - Sporting de Gijón	2:1
21.12.24	Sporting de Gijón - Málaga	1:3
29.01.23	Sporting de Gijón - Málaga	0:0
06.11.22	Málaga - Sporting de Gijón	1:1
09.01.22	Málaga - Sporting de Gijón	2:2
26.09.21	Sporting de Gijón - Málaga	2:1
14.02.21	Sporting de Gijón - Málaga	1:0

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