Match Info

Super Lig - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Aksu O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Eyüpspor		Çaykur Rizespor

	1	X	2
	3.90	3.50	1.79	Watch
	4.20	3.50	1.80
	3.95	3.50	1.89	Watch
	4.37	3.62	1.93
	4.12	3.61	1.88	Watch
	4.30	3.55	1.86
	4.07	3.65	1.91	Watch
	4.10	3.50	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (3.32)	3.55 ↓ (3.59)	1.87 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eyüpspor
22.9%

Draw
26.5%

Çaykur Rizespor
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

26.4%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

26.5%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eyüpspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eyüpspor's form might have worsened.

Çaykur Rizespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Çaykur Rizespor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eyüpspor than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eyüpspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Çaykur Rizespor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Eyüpspor - Çaykur Rizespor Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Eyüpspor will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Rizespor will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Moldovan H. (G) 7. Ulvan T. (C) 5. El Yamiq J. 33. Jules Z. 21. Giordano S. 88. Massanga Matondo 98. Boutobba B. 8. Costa D. 15. Raux Yao C. 77. Michalak K. 29. Abdullahi A.	75. Fofana Y. (G) 37. Sahin T. 4. Mocsi A. 93. Sagnan M. 54. Pala M. 14. Antalyali T. (C) 79. Doicaru I. 10. Olawoyin I. 20. Laci Q. 7. Mihaila V. 9. Sowe A.
Substitutes
18. Akman H. 9. Barasi Y. 1. Bilgin E. (G) 44. Ceyhan O. 70. Demir M. 11. Pintor L. 84. Sadia C. 42. Satli B. K. 4. Yasar A. 3. Yavuz A.	17. Ariss Z. 21. Bakayoko S. 99. Bulut E. 6. Diakite M. 19. Erdem U. 30. Gorgen Z. (G) 23. Kutucu A. 11. Mebude A. 5. Sanuc T. T. 8. Varesanovic D.
Coaches
Pulat O.	Ucar R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Sowe A. ⚽, Doicaru I. (A),
33', Sagnan M. 🟨,
43', Mihaila V. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Olawoyin I. ↓, Kutucu A. ↑,
59', Doicaru I. ↓, Bulut E. ↑,
61', Costa D. ↓, Barasi Y. ↑,
63', Mocsi A. 🟨,
71', Laci Q. ↓, Diakite M. ↑,
71', Boutobba B. ↓, Demir M. ↑,
71', Raux Yao C. ↓, Akman H. ↑,
77', Ulvan T. ↓, Pintor L. ↑,
79', Sowe A. ↓, Sanuc T. T. ↑,
79', Antalyali T. ↓, Bakayoko S. ↑,
81', Pala M. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 2, Bulut E. ⚽, Fofana Y. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eyüpspor won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Rizespor is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Rizespor: Alikulov K. (Knee Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Eyüpspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Eyüpspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Rizespor	7	3	1	3	7:9	-2	10
18	Eyupspor	6	1	0	5	2:16	-14	3

Last Results with these Odds

Çaykur Rizespor - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 45.03%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eyüpspor
Turkish Super League
06.09.26	Çorum - Eyüpspor	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Eyüpspor - Alanyaspor	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Eyüpspor - Gaziantep	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Beşiktaş - Eyüpspor	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.26	Eyüpspor - İstanbulspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLLW
- Çaykur Rizespor
Turkish Super League
07.09.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Alanyaspor	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Gaziantep - Çaykur Rizespor	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Samsunspor	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Konyaspor - Çaykur Rizespor	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Orijent	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
09.05.26	Eyüpspor - Çaykur Rizespor	4:0
13.12.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Eyüpspor	3:0
20.04.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Eyüpspor	1:0
23.11.24	Eyüpspor - Çaykur Rizespor	1:2
Turkish First League
26.03.23	Eyüpspor - Çaykur Rizespor	0:1
15.10.22	Çaykur Rizespor - Eyüpspor	0:0

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