Match Info

Super Lig - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Eyüp Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2


	Eyüpspor		İstanbul Başakşehir

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.7	1.61	Watch
	4.6	4	1.65
	4.66	3.94	1.65	Watch
	5.54	3.95	1.67
	5.54	3.93	1.62	Watch
	4.8	3.8	1.62
	5.72	3.83	1.68	Watch
	5	3.66	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.14 ↓ (5.33)	3.85 ↑ (3.43)	1.64 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eyüpspor
18.3%

Draw
24.4%

İstanbul Başakşehir
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

27.6%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

27.4%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eyüpspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eyüpspor than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	10%	70%

Eyüpspor - İstanbul Başakşehir Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Eyüpspor will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Başakşehir will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Eyüpspor (votes: 1 - 20%). Başakşehir (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -1.5 - Başakşehir (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Eyüpspor (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Başakşehir (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Yilmaz J. (G) 17. Ulvan T. 68. Onguene J. 5. Ozyurt B. 77. Meras U. 28. Taskin I. (C) 26. Altunbas M. 55. Gezek B. A. 8. Akbaba E. 23. Pintor L. 19. Bozok U.	16. Sengezer M. (G) 42. Sahiner O. (C) 5. Duarte L. 3. Opoku J. 21. Operi C. 8. Kemen O. 20. Gunes U. 11. Fayzullaev A. 14. Shomurodov E. 25. Harit A. 9. Selke D.
Substitutes
40. Ampem P. O. 20. Legowski M. 2. Lucas Calegari 27. Manga I. 1. Marcos Felipe (G) 3. Mendy G. 22. Radu D. 15. Raux Yao C. 7. Rotariu D. 10. Torres A.	80. Alemdar D. (G) 27. Ba O. 77. Brnic I. 6. Bulut O. 10. Da Costa N. 18. Kaluzinski J. 88. Karatas K. 2. Ozdemir B. 7. Sari Y. 91. Yildirim B.
Coaches
Gerin A.	Sahin N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Selke D. ⚽, Fayzullaev A. (A),
37', Operi C. 🟨,
42', Meras U. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 2, Shomurodov E. ⚽,
58', Altunbas M. ↓, Torres A. ↑,
58', Pintor L. ↓, Ampem P. O. ↑,
65', Operi C. ↓, Karatas K. ↑,
65', Fayzullaev A. ↓, Brnic I. ↑,
72', Taskin I. ↓, Legowski M. ↑,
72', Ulvan T. ↓, Lucas Calegari ↑,
74', Selke D. ↓, Yildirim B. ↑,
85', Akbaba E. ↓, Raux Yao C. ↑,
85', Gunes U. ↓, Ozdemir B. ↑,
85', Harit A. ↓, Da Costa N. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Bozok U. ⚽, Torres A. (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 6).

Eyüpspor is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Başakşehir is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Eyüpspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Başakşehir is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Eyüpspor: Luccas Claro (Ankle Injury) Ozyurt B. (Suspended)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Eyüpspor won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Eyüpspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Basaksehir	6	2	1	3	10:11	-1	7
18	Eyupspor	6	1	0	5	2:16	-14	3

Last Results with these Odds

İstanbul Başakşehir - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 54.68%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eyüpspor
Turkish Cup
04.02.26	Gençlerbirliği - Eyüpspor	2:2 ✺
Turkish Super League
31.01.26	Alanyaspor - Eyüpspor	1:3 ✺
26.01.26	Eyüpspor - Beşiktaş	2:2 ✺
19.01.26	Konyaspor - Eyüpspor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
15.01.26	Eyüpspor - Igdirspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 TWTTW
- İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Cup
04.02.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:4 ✺
Turkish Super League
31.01.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Çaykur Rizespor	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Kayserispor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:3 ✺
17.01.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
13.01.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Boluspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
31.08.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Eyüpspor	0:0
31.03.25	Eyüpspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:3
Turkish Cup
27.02.25	Eyüpspor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:0
Turkish Super League
28.10.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Eyüpspor	1:1

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