Match Info

Super Lig - Round 9

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday

Location: Eyüp Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Aydin C. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1


	Eyüpspor		Kasımpaşa

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.85	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.87
	2.54	3.27	3
	2.70	2.99	2.79	Watch
	2.45	3.36	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.23)	3.21 ↓ (3.38)	2.89 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eyüpspor
37.8%

Draw
29.5%

Kasımpaşa
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

27.9%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

29.6%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eyüpspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eyüpspor than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eyüpspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	16.7%	41.7%

Eyüpspor - Kasımpaşa Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Eyüpspor will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eyüpspor: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Eyüpspor (votes: 2 - 50%). Kasımpaşa (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Kasımpaşa (2.11) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Eyüpspor (1.39) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Kasımpaşa (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Eyüpspor (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Kasımpaşa (votes: 7 - 63.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marcos Felipe (G) 6. Yalcin R. (C) 4. Luccas Claro 18. Mujakic N. 2. Lucas Calegari 20. Legowski M. 10. Demirbay K. 11. Gurler S. 30. Kayan Y. 7. Akbunar H. 9. Thiam M.	1. Gianniotis A. (G) 2. Winck C. 20. Opoku N. 41. Szalai At. (C) 21. Frimpong G. 16. Baldursson A. F. 34. Diabate F. 6. Ustundag C. 11. Kol A. 7. Fall M. 17. Kanatsizkus K.
Substitutes
8. Akbaba E. 40. Ampem P. O. 19. Bozok U. 77. Meras U. 5. Ortakaya E. 99. Seslar S. 33. Stepanenko T. 28. Taskin I. 17. Ulvan T. 24. Yilmaz J. (G)	4. Arous A. 29. Aydin T. 9. Barasi Y. 8. Cafu 72. Eratilla Y. 14. Espinoza J. 5. Mujde A. 33. Tasdemir E. 25. Yanar A. (G) 42. Yigit E.
Coaches
Ak O.	Arveladze S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Demirbay K. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Thiam M. ⚽, Legowski M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Ustundag C. 🟨,
62', Fall M. ↓, Cafu ↑,
68', Akbunar H. ↓, Ampem P. O. ↑,
75', Kayan Y. ↓, Stepanenko T. ↑,
85', Frimpong G. ↓, Tasdemir E. ↑,
85', Ustundag C. ↓, Barasi Y. ↑,
85', Demirbay K. ↓, Akbaba E. ↑,
86', Thiam M. ↓, Bozok U. ↑,
86', Gurler S. ↓, Seslar S. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 0, Bozok U. ⚽, Seslar S. (A),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 11).

Recent form of Eyüpspor has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kasımpaşa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Eyüpspor: Bayirkan C. (Inactive) Saiz S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Hajradinovic H. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Eyüpspor: Dragus D. (Injury) Taskin I. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Eyüpspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Eyüpspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eyüpspor
Turkish Super League
04.10.25	Kocaelispor - Eyüpspor	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Eyüpspor - Göztepe	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Gençlerbirliği - Eyüpspor	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Eyüpspor - Galatasaray	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Eyüpspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLLT
- Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League
05.10.25	Kasımpaşa - Konyaspor	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Kasımpaşa	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe	1:1 ✺
17.09.25	Samsunspor - Kasımpaşa	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kasımpaşa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
10.05.25	Eyüpspor - Kasımpaşa	0:3
13.12.24	Kasımpaşa - Eyüpspor	2:0

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