Match Info

Super Lig - Round 9

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu (Istanbul) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Akarsu A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	TOD
Australia	21:30	beIN Connect
Canada	06:30	beIN Connect
France	12:30	beIN Connect
Hong Kong	18:30	beIN Connect
Indonesia	17:30	beIN Connect
Laos	17:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	18:30	beIN Connect
New Zealand	23:30	beIN Connect
Philippines	18:30	beIN Connect
Singapore	18:30	beIN Connect
Thailand	17:30	beIN Connect
Turkey	13:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Digiturk
Usa	06:30	beIN Connect


	Eyüpspor		Kasımpaşa

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.75	1.53	Watch
	5.00	3.70	1.66
	5.54	3.69	1.59	Watch
	5.89	4.07	1.63
	5.3	3.93	1.63	Watch
	5.7	3.95	1.58
	5.73	4.01	1.65	Watch
	5.2	3.75	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.48 ↑ (3.1)	3.86 ↑ (3.18)	1.61 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eyüpspor
17.1%

Draw
24.4%

Kasımpaşa
58.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.8%

29.1%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

27.2%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eyüpspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eyüpspor's form might have worsened.

Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kasımpaşa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eyüpspor than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eyüpspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kasımpaşa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Eyüpspor - Kasımpaşa Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kasımpaşa: 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasımpaşa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bilgin E. (G) 7. Ulvan T. 5. El Yamiq J. 33. Jules Z. 21. Giordano S. 88. Massanga Matondo 77. Michalak K. 8. Costa D. 28. Taskin I. (C) 11. Pintor L. 9. Barasi Y.	1. Gianniotis A. (G) 2. Winck C. 4. Arous A. 27. Ilie M. 45. Karapo A. 51. Mendes E. 26. Demirbay K. 17. Rak-Sakyi J. 10. Hajradinovic H. (C) 7. Kol A. 9. Benedyczak A.
Substitutes
18. Akman H. 98. Boutobba B. 70. Demir M. 53. Karakas M. 31. Moldovan H. (G) 15. Raux Yao C. 10. Sabiri A. 42. Satli B. K. 4. Yasar A. 3. Yavuz A.	16. Baldursson A. 18. Bayram O. 66. Boz E. 30. Dagbasi A. 11. Diarra T. 5. Jessen J. 8. Mujde A. 19. Rafferty M. 50. Yalcin G. 25. Yanar A. (G)
Coaches
Dalci M.	Belozoglu E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Demirbay K. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Benedyczak A. ⚽, Hajradinovic H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Michalak K. ↓, Demir M. ↑,
62', Hajradinovic H. ↓, Baldursson A. ↑,
66', Taskin I. ↓, Sabiri A. ↑,
73', Pintor L. ↓, Boutobba B. ↑,
73', Costa D. ↓, Raux Yao C. ↑,
79', Mendes E. ↓, Rafferty M. ↑,
79', Benedyczak A. ↓, Yalcin G. ↑,
84', Barasi Y. ↓, Yasar A. ↑,
87', Kol A. 🟨,
90', Rak-Sakyi J. ↓, Diarra T. ↑,
90', Kol A. ↓, Mujde A. ↑,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 18th in the Relegation - 1. Lig and 7th).

Eyüpspor has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Kasımpaşa have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Eyüpspor may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Kasımpaşa for this game.

Confirmed absences for Eyüpspor: Abdullahi A. (Red Card).

Confirmed absences for Kasımpaşa: Corekci K. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Frimpong G. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Eyüpspor: Barasi Y. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Kasımpaşa: Ouanes M. (Muscle Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Kasımpaşa in today's match, at odds of 1.6.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Eyüpspor has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:6 (averaging 0.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Eyüpspor against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Kasimpasa	9	4	4	1	13:9	4	16
18	Eyupspor	9	1	0	8	2:23	-21	3

Outrights of Turkish Super League for now

Kasimpasa: 0.69% Eyupspor: 0.12%

Last Results with these Odds

Kasımpaşa - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.13%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eyüpspor
Turkish Super League
17.10.26	Erzurumspor - Eyüpspor	2:0 ✺
12.10.26	Eyüpspor - Göztepe	0:4 ✺
20.09.26	Fenerbahçe - Eyüpspor	8:0 ✺
12.09.26	Eyüpspor - Çaykur Rizespor	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Çorum - Eyüpspor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League
18.10.26	Kasımpaşa - Samsunspor	4:1 ✺
09.10.26	Galatasaray - Kasımpaşa	3:1 ✺
18.09.26	Kasımpaşa - Konyaspor	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Gençlerbirliği - Kasımpaşa	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Kasımpaşa - Amed SK	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
15.03.26	Kasımpaşa - Eyüpspor	1:0
20.10.25	Eyüpspor - Kasımpaşa	2:0
10.05.25	Eyüpspor - Kasımpaşa	0:3
13.12.24	Kasımpaşa - Eyüpspor	2:0

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