Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 18

Date: 2 June 2025, Monday

Location: Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Fénix		Acassuso

	1	X	2
	4.1	2.95	2.03
	4.42	2.92	1.93
	4.21	2.9	1.98	Watch
	3.8	2.75	2.1
	4.14	3.08	1.98
	4.1	2.95	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (4)	2.93 ↓ (3)	2.01 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fénix
22.4%

Draw
31.6%

Acassuso
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

30%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

29.1%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fénix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Acassuso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5%	75%	20%

Fénix - Acassuso Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Fénix will win (votes: 1 - 5%). Acassuso will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 56% – 94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Acassuso (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 9 - 81.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parra V. (G) 4. Bembo J. 2. Acosta M. 6. Ferro G. 3. Rodriguez J. 8. Rizzo F. 5. Diaz F. 10. Aparicio G. 11. Meridione A. 7. Breccia R. 9. Anriquez D.	1. Dominguez J. (G) 4. Filippetto E. 2. Serrizuela J. 6. Ghiraldello J. 3. Ruiz A. 8. De Stefano D. 5. Ponce J. 10. Hermoso A. 11. Senn F. 7. Mino L. 9. Habib T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Ruiz A. 🟨,
40', Rizzo F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Ghiraldello J. 🟨,
63', Rizzo F. 🟨,
64', Mino L. ↓, Dubini K. ↑,
64', Ponce J. ↓, Scacchi S. ↑,
68', Aparicio G. ↓, Alric F. ↑,
74', Hermoso A. ↓, Escalante D. ↑,
78', De Stefano D. ↓, Robles E. ↑,
78', Filippetto E. ↓, Etcheverri R. ↑,
84', Auteri S. ↓, Meridione A. ↑,
89', 🟨,
89', 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fénix won 2.

Fénix has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Acassuso is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Acassuso is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Fénix won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Fénix won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Fénix - the odds 4 are the expected chance of winning is 22.53%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Fénix Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera B
25.05.25	Brown de Adrogué - Fénix	2:0 ✺
19.05.25	Fénix - Argentino de Merlo	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Argentino de Quilmes - Fénix	3:0 ✺
05.05.25	Fénix - Villa Dálmine	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Deportivo Flandria - Fénix	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLTL
- Club Atlético Acassuso
Argentinian Primera B
24.05.25	Acassuso - Deportivo Laferrere	1:0 ✺
19.05.25	Liniers - Acassuso	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Acassuso - Comunicaciones	0:0 ✺
03.05.25	Deportivo Armenio - Acassuso	0:3 ✺
28.04.25	Acassuso - San Martín de Burzaco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
14.10.24	Fénix - Acassuso	2:0
25.05.24	Acassuso - Fénix	2:4
15.07.23	Acassuso - Fénix	1:0
18.03.23	Fénix - Acassuso	1:2
13.08.22	Acassuso - Fénix	0:0
18.04.22	Fénix - Acassuso	2:1
06.11.21	Fénix - Acassuso	0:5

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