Match Info

Primera B - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Armenia Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter


	Deportivo Armenio		Acassuso

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	2.92	3.65	Watch
	2	2.91	4.02	Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.4
	2.24	2.86	3.65	Watch
	2.1	3	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.74)	2.9 ↓ (3.33)	3.61 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Armenio
43.1%

Draw
31.5%

Acassuso
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

27.3%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

29.5%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Armenio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Armenio's form might have worsened.

Acassuso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Armenio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Acassuso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Deportivo Armenio - Acassuso Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopez I. (C) 4. Troxler N. 2. Segovia I. 6. Medina L. 3. Avalos S. 7. Maldonado G. 5. Sica N. 8. Lagomarsino S. 10. Barrionuevo D. 9. Figueroa G. 11. Herrera Jonathan N.	1. Tursi F. (G) 4. Ponce J. 2. Pioli L. 6. Ghiraldello J. 3. Ruiz A. 11. Senn F. 5. De Stefano D. 8. Dubini K. (C) 10. Hermoso A. 7. Rey L. 9. Escalante D.
Substitutes
15. Cardozo I. 13. Echeverria J. 17. Gerez R. 14. Gomez C. 19. Jerez T. 20. Luna T. 12. Nistal N. (G) 16. Orellana M. 18. Villalva L.	12. Dominguez J. (G) 14. Dordoni B. 19. Gomez Y. 20. Habib T. 18. Mino B. 16. Raccio J. 15. Robles E. 17. Scacchi S. 13. Serrizuela J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Escalante D. ⚽,
19', Dubini K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Barrionuevo D. ↓, Luna T. ↑,
46', Maldonado G. ↓, Villalva L. ↑,
48', Lagomarsino S. 🟨,
54', Ghiraldello J. 🟨,
56', Dubini K. ↓, Habib T. ↑,
65', Hermoso A. ↓, Raccio J. ↑,
65', Rey L. ↓, Scacchi S. ↑,
68', Tursi F. 🟨,
71', 1 - 1, Troxler N. ⚽,
73', Lagomarsino S. ↓, Gerez R. ↑,
74', Senn F. ↓, Robles E. ↑,
74', Dubini K. ↓, Dordoni B. ↑,
78', Herrera Jonathan N. ↓, Echeverria J. ↑,
79', Avalos S. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Armenio won 3.

In recent matches, Deportivo Armenio has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Acassuso is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Deportivo Armenio is the team to beat.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Armenio won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Armenio won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Armenio
Argentinian Primera B
14.12.25	Acassuso - Deportivo Armenio	1:0 ✺
10.12.25	Argentino de Merlo - Deportivo Armenio	1:2 penalties ✺
06.12.25	Deportivo Armenio - Argentino de Merlo	0:0 ✺
01.12.25	Deportivo Armenio - Sportivo Italiano	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Armenio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTTW
- Club Atlético Acassuso
Argentinian Primera B
14.12.25	Acassuso - Deportivo Armenio	1:0 ✺
10.12.25	Real Pilar - Acassuso	1:2 penalties ✺
06.12.25	Acassuso - Real Pilar	0:0 ✺
02.12.25	Acassuso - Villa San Carlos	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Villa San Carlos - Acassuso	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
14.12.25	Acassuso - Deportivo Armenio	1:0
22.09.25	Acassuso - Deportivo Armenio	2:3
03.05.25	Deportivo Armenio - Acassuso	0:3
26.10.24	Deportivo Armenio - Acassuso	3:0
09.06.24	Acassuso - Deportivo Armenio	1:3
30.09.23	Deportivo Armenio - Acassuso	2:0
29.05.23	Acassuso - Deportivo Armenio	0:1

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